Skip to content
Slow Variables
Ask
How fast AI lands, and who keeps the value

The bottleneck was never the motor.

American factories could buy electric power from the early 1880s, and it did not show up in the productivity statistics until the 1920s. The motors worked. What took four decades was rebuilding the factories around them, and nobody tears down a factory that is still standing. This site tracks AI on the same bet: the technology is fast, and the things it has to change are slow.

Readings updated 2026-11-04 · newest figure in the essay dated 2026-10-04

Tonight's three readings

Latest changes

  1. 2026-09-29Vertical versus horizontal application fundingunclear
  2. 2026-09-28Circular financing scaleconcentrating
  3. 2026-09-27Concentration among covered chip filers (HHI)stable
Every change, with its reason →

The path · three acts, nine stops

Or see the argument as a run of figures →
Start the path · stop 1 · Act IThe argument Is AI a normal technology, or something faster?