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Futures · imagined

Imagined in the 2020s

The technologies stories first imagined in this decade, by kind, with whether each has been built since and who would keep the profit.

By kind of technology

Computing, AI and virtual worlds · 2
Illustration of Folding Terminal: A computer that opens itself out into working shape when needed.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Folding Terminal

The Mountain in the Sea, Ray Naylor · 2022

A computer that opens itself out into working shape when needed.

built in the 2020s, about 0 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Folding or bending is a convenience added to a pocket computer people would own anyway.

Who is paid. Ordinary people buy it, and the firms that already make and sell pocket computers add the feature and collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Palimpscreen: An ultrathin electronic sheet that displays content like a printed page.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Palimpscreen

The Mountain in the Sea, Ray Naylor · 2022

An ultrathin electronic sheet that displays content like a printed page.

already existed before the story (the 2010s)

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A screen as thin and light as paper is a general display that could replace print and fixed sets, which changes the costs of a whole industry.

Who is paid. Ordinary people buy it, and the firms that already make and sell screens and pocket computers add the feature and collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Communication, media and displays · 1
Illustration of Burner Modem: A cheap network connection device meant to be discarded after use.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Burner Modem

The Breach, M.T. Hill · 2020

A cheap network connection device meant to be discarded after use.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A network connection you throw away after use serves the few who want not to be traced.

Who is paid. People buy it for themselves and it is cheap by design and simple to make, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Robotics and automation · 2
Illustration of Maritime Robots: Robots able to handle all upkeep and repair work aboard a ship.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Maritime Robots

Mare Nostrum, Bruce Sterling · 2022

Robots able to handle all upkeep and repair work aboard a ship.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Robots that do all upkeep and repair aboard a ship would cut crew costs across shipping.

Who is paid. Ship and plant operators buy them, and as the machines can be copied the established makers that already equip and service those operators collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Prosthetic Yachting Gloves: Powered gloves that boost a sailor's grip and handling of lines.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Prosthetic Yachting Gloves

Mare Nostrum, Bruce Sterling · 2022

Powered gloves that boost a sailor's grip and handling of lines.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Gloves that strengthen a sailor's grip are a convenience for a pastime.

Who is paid. Sailors buy them for themselves, and many makers could build such gloves.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Medicine, biotech and longevity · 2
Illustration of Sloth Pill: A drug that puts a traveller into a brief hibernation-like torpor for the length of a flight.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sloth Pill

The Breach, M.T. Hill · 2020

A drug that puts a traveller into a brief hibernation-like torpor for the length of a flight.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; the maker keeps the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Sleeping through a single flight is a comfort for travellers, unlike the long dormancy that makes far voyages possible.

Who is paid. Travellers would buy it for themselves, and a new drug is protected from copying for a while, so its maker keeps what is left.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Flesh Putty: A moldable tissue substitute pressed into wounds to fill damaged flesh.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Flesh Putty

Titanium Noir, Nick Harkaway · 2023

A moldable tissue substitute pressed into wounds to fill damaged flesh.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Man-made skin helps people with burns and bad wounds, which is an important but narrow part of medicine.

Who is paid. Hospitals and clinics would buy it, and the firms that already supply wound dressings could all make it, so they collect a modest margin.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Mind and neurotechnology · 1
Illustration of Bio-Implant (Compensator Chip): A brain implant that supports an autistic child in daily functioning and learning.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Bio-Implant (Compensator Chip)

Hella, David Gerrold · 2020

A brain implant that supports an autistic child in daily functioning and learning.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Helping autistic children manage daily life and learning would be worth a great deal to many families.

Who is paid. Families or their insurers would pay, and the makers of medical implants who already hold hospital trust could copy it and collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Transport and mobility · 1
Illustration of Autofreighter: A crewless cargo ship that sails itself while hauling goods for trade.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Autofreighter

The Mountain in the Sea, Ray Naylor · 2022

A crewless cargo ship that sails itself while hauling goods for trade.

already existed before the story (the 2010s)

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Hauling goods with no crew aboard changes the costs of a whole freight industry.

Who is paid. Freight carriers buy it, and since the self-steering gear can be copied, the carriers and builders that already own the fleets and routes collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Surveillance, identity and control · 4
Illustration of DNA Swab Palate: A fictional mouth insert used by characters to defeat genetic identity tests.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

DNA Swab Palate

The Breach, M.T. Hill · 2020

A fictional mouth insert used by characters to defeat genetic identity tests.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. An insert that defeats identity tests serves only the few agents who must pass as someone else, and is forbidden to everyone else.

Who is paid. Assuming a spy service is the lawful buyer, it pays, and since others could copy the insert the firms already trusted with secret supply work collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Pacification Drones: Flying monitoring robots that play soothing sounds to settle people below.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pacification Drones

The Breach, M.T. Hill · 2020

Flying monitoring robots that play soothing sounds to settle people below.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A large prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Flying robots that watch crowds and calm them would change how a state keeps order in public places.

Who is paid. Police forces pay, and gear sold to them goes through the firms that already hold their supply contracts.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Scuttle-bot: A general-purpose watching robot that moves by clambering over surfaces instead of flying.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Scuttle-bot

Hella, David Gerrold · 2020

A general-purpose watching robot that moves by clambering over surfaces instead of flying.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A large prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A crawling robot that watches where flying ones cannot changes what police and spy services can learn.

Who is paid. Assumes it watches people for a state; once made it can be copied, so the firms already supplying such services collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Abglanz: A face covering that conceals who the wearer is from observers and cameras.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Abglanz

The Mountain in the Sea, Ray Naylor · 2022

A face covering that conceals who the wearer is from observers and cameras.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Hiding your face from cameras is wanted by a minority who care strongly about privacy.

Who is paid. Ordinary people buy it, and a face covering is easy for any maker to copy so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Food, agriculture and environment · 1
Illustration of Pina2bo: A giant gun firing reflective particles into the upper sky to cool the planet.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pina2bo

Termination Shock, Neal Stephenson · 2021

A giant gun firing reflective particles into the upper sky to cool the planet.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A vast prizeA government pays; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A vast prize. Cooling the whole planet would touch the weather and harvests of nearly everyone, for good or ill.

Who is paid. Nobody can be charged one by one, so a government pays, and the gun and the particles are plain engineering that many builders could supply.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Home and everyday life · 1
Illustration of Science Chair: Furniture cultivated from the owner's own genetic material to fit them comfortably.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Science Chair

Titanium Noir, Nick Harkaway · 2023

Furniture cultivated from the owner's own genetic material to fit them comfortably.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A chair grown to fit its owner is a novel way to get comfortable furniture.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and since living stock multiplies once any of it is sold, no originator can hold it, so the breeders and furnishing shops that already hold stock and showrooms collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Ideas from Technovelgy: Science Fiction Timeline of Inventions (Bill Christensen) (archived copy), as compiled in Not Boring: Sci-Fi Idea Bank (Packy McCormick); names, works, authors and years are theirs and every description is this site's rewording. Categories, arrival decades and profit are judged by AI models, not people. Method