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Futures · imagined

Imagined in the 1900s

The technologies stories first imagined in this decade, by kind, with whether each has been built since and who would keep the profit.

By kind of technology

Space travel and habitats · 4
Illustration of Breathing Dresses: Protective clothing with an air supply that lets people survive on the lunar surface.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Breathing Dresses

A Honeymoon In Space, George Griffith · 1901

Protective clothing with an air supply that lets people survive on the lunar surface.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A suit that keeps a person alive in vacuum is vital to its wearer but serves only the few who work in space.

Who is paid. Space operators buy suits for their crews, and the few firms that already make such gear supply them since the design can be copied.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Homeworld (Home-World): A term for the planet where a people or species originated.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Homeworld (Home-World)

A Honeymoon In Space, George Griffith · 1901

A term for the planet where a people or species originated.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

No prizeNothing is soldas a model judges it

Why

No prize. It is a term for the planet a people came from, not a product.

Who is paid. Nothing is sold, so nobody pays and no seller collects.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Neutral (Point): The spot in space where a planet's pull and the Sun's pull on an object balance out.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Neutral (Point)

On The Martian Way, Harry Gore Bishop · 1907

The spot in space where a planet's pull and the Sun's pull on an object balance out.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

No prizeNothing is soldas a model judges it

Why

No prize. It is a natural thing or place in space, not a product anyone makes or sells.

Who is paid. Nothing is sold, so nobody pays and no seller collects.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Etheroneph: A crewed spacecraft whose engines draw their power from nuclear fuel.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Etheroneph

Red Star, Aleksandr Bogdanov · 1908

A crewed spacecraft whose engines draw their power from nuclear fuel.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A working vessel for travel between worlds would found a transport industry of its own.

Who is paid. Carriers and expedition firms buy ships, and many yards could build them once shown how, so established vehicle builders collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Computing, AI and virtual worlds · 1
Illustration of Translatophone: A gadget that converts speech in one language into another automatically.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Translatophone

My Translatophone, Frank Stockton · 1901

A gadget that converts speech in one language into another automatically.

built in 2006, 105 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Letting any two people talk and read across languages opens up travel, trade and work, which is worth an industry of its own.

Who is paid. Travellers, migrants and other ordinary people buy it to use themselves, firms buy it too, and once it works many can offer it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Communication, media and displays · 3
Illustration of Interplanetary Radiograph Station: A chain of radio relay stations linking the planets into one messaging network.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Interplanetary Radiograph Station

On The Martian Way, Harry Gore Bishop · 1907

A chain of radio relay stations linking the planets into one messaging network.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Assuming the planets are settled as in the story, a message link among them carries all their trade and news, an industry of its own.

Who is paid. Assuming firms and settlers pay by the message, nothing described stops a rival from building its own stations, so the carriers and fleet owners who already hold the home networks where every message starts and ends, and the ships to place and tend stations, collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Cinematophote (Blue Optic Plate): A flat portable display small enough to hold in one hand.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Cinematophote (Blue Optic Plate)

The Machine Stops, E.M. Forster · 1909

A flat portable display small enough to hold in one hand.

built in the 2010s, about 110 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A flat screen you hold in one hand is the face of nearly every modern personal device, an industry of its own.

Who is paid. People buy it for themselves, the design can be copied, and the electronics firms with the factories and brands collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Video Communicator: Carries sound and moving pictures together so callers can watch one another while talking.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Video Communicator

The Machine Stops, E.M. Forster · 1909

Carries sound and moving pictures together so callers can watch one another while talking.

built in the 2010s, about 110 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Seeing the person you are talking to is something most people now use, and it is worth an industry.

Who is paid. Ordinary people pay for the device and the line, and since many can make the device, the firms that already own the phone networks and handset brands collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Robotics and automation · 2
Illustration of Tik-Tok: A clockwork humanoid that moves and speaks once its springs are wound.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Tik-Tok

Ozma of Oz, L. Frank Baum · 1907

A clockwork humanoid that moves and speaks once its springs are wound.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. The description says what this wound-up man does, which is move and speak, and gives it no work or thought, so it is judged as a figure for show and not as the artificial worker of the stories.

Who is paid. Showmen and exhibitors are assumed to buy it, and many makers could build clockwork figures, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of The Machine: One planet-wide automated system that provides food, air, shelter and communication for everyone.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

The Machine

The Machine Stops, E.M. Forster · 1909

One planet-wide automated system that provides food, air, shelter and communication for everyone.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A vast prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A vast prize. A single system that gives everyone food, air, shelter and talk meets the basic needs of all of humanity.

Who is paid. Nobody could be charged for it piece by piece, so governments pay, and it is assumed many building and supply firms that hold public contracts would be needed and would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Medicine, biotech and longevity · 1
Illustration of Telemedicine Apparatus: Lets doctors see and treat patients remotely over a live connection.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Telemedicine Apparatus

The Machine Stops, E.M. Forster · 1909

Lets doctors see and treat patients remotely over a live connection.

built in the 1960s, about 60 years after it was imagined

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Seeing a doctor without travelling saves time for a great many patients and lowers the cost of care.

Who is paid. Hospitals and clinics would buy it, and any firm can link a doctor and a patient over a network, so established health providers and network firms collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Transport and mobility · 2
Illustration of Aerocar: A small aircraft that private individuals fly themselves around in.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Aerocar

The Abduction of Alexandra Seine, Fred C. Smale · 1900

A small aircraft that private individuals fly themselves around in.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A private vehicle that flies its owner over the roads would be an industry of its own, though it mostly replaces trips people already make by car.

Who is paid. Owners buy it as they buy a car, and once it works many firms could build it, so the vehicle makers that already have factories, dealers and repair networks collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of The Terror: A single vehicle that races at great speed on roads, across water, underwater and through the air.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

The Terror

Master of the World, Jules Verne · 1904

A single vehicle that races at great speed on roads, across water, underwater and through the air.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A lone vehicle for road, water and air does each job worse than a craft built for it, so it suits a few buyers who want them all.

Who is paid. I assume wealthy owners buy it, and once it was built other makers could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Weapons and warfare · 4
Illustration of Aerial Navies: Fleets of aircraft in great numbers used to overwhelm defences on the ground.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Aerial Navies

The World Masters, George Griffith · 1903

Fleets of aircraft in great numbers used to overwhelm defences on the ground.

built in the 1910s, about 10 years after it was imagined

A large prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Striking an enemy from the air changed how wars are fought and supports a whole industry of warplanes and their arms.

Who is paid. Armies buy it with public money, and since rival makers can copy it the established arms suppliers with standing army contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Death-Ray: A narrow beam of energy that burns living tissue away from the skeleton.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Death-Ray

The World Masters, George Griffith · 1903

A narrow beam of energy that burns living tissue away from the skeleton.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Assuming a soldier carries it, it does much the same job as a gun, so the gain over a gun is modest.

Who is paid. Armies buy it with public money, and since rival makers can copy it the established arms suppliers with standing army contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Joystick Controls w/Remote Display: A weapon aimed and fired through hand controls and a remote viewing screen rather than direct sight.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Joystick Controls w/Remote Display

The Land Ironclads, H.G. Wells · 1903

A weapon aimed and fired through hand controls and a remote viewing screen rather than direct sight.

built in the 1940s, about 40 years after it was imagined

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Aiming and firing through a screen and hand controls keeps the crew under cover, but it is a fitting added to weapons, not a new one.

Who is paid. Armies pay, and the idea is easy to copy, so the arms firms that already build the guns and vehicles fit it and collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Vandelite Gun: An artillery piece that chills its explosive charge solid so it survives being fired.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Vandelite Gun

The World Masters, George Griffith · 1903

An artillery piece that chills its explosive charge solid so it survives being fired.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A cannon that freezes its charge so it survives firing is a modest improvement to artillery armies already have.

Who is paid. Armies pay, and such guns are easy to copy, so the arms makers that already hold supply contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Home and everyday life · 2
Illustration of Glass Dome: A vast transparent roof sheltering an entire city from weather.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Glass Dome

A Modern Utopia, H.G. Wells · 1905

A vast transparent roof sheltering an entire city from weather.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A large prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Sheltering a whole city from weather is a public work on the scale of an industry.

Who is paid. No citizen could be charged singly for the roof over everyone, so the city pays, and the large construction firms that already win such contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Machine Apartment: A sealed personal room where every need is delivered by automated services so its occupant never leaves.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Machine Apartment

The Machine Stops, E.M. Forster · 1909

A sealed personal room where every need is delivered by automated services so its occupant never leaves.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A vast prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A vast prize. A room that delivers every need by machine would free its occupant from housework and errands, whatever the story thinks of the life that results.

Who is paid. Occupants pay for the room and its services, and no single firm could keep the idea to itself, so the appliance makers, builders and delivery networks that already reach every home would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Exotic physics · 3
Illustration of Cavorite: A metal that, once cooled, blocks gravity from acting on whatever it shields.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Cavorite

The First Men in the Moon, H.G. Wells · 1901

A metal that, once cooled, blocks gravity from acting on whatever it shields.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Cancelling weight at will would cut the cost of lifting, carrying and launching, which changes transport and building more than it changes how most people live.

Who is paid. Carriers, builders and launch firms would pay, and since the trick could be copied once shown, the firms that already build vehicles and craft would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Gravitation Screen: A barrier that blocks a planet's gravity from acting on a spacecraft.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Gravitation Screen

On The Martian Way, Harry Gore Bishop · 1907

A barrier that blocks a planet's gravity from acting on a spacecraft.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Cancelling weight at will would cut the cost of lifting, carrying and launching, which changes transport and building more than it changes how most people live.

Who is paid. Carriers, builders and launch firms would pay, and since the trick could be copied once shown, the firms that already build vehicles and craft would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Minus-Matter: A substance that cancels out the weight of whatever it is attached to.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Minus-Matter

Red Star, Aleksandr Bogdanov · 1908

A substance that cancels out the weight of whatever it is attached to.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Cancelling weight at will would cut the cost of lifting, carrying and launching, which changes transport and building more than it changes how most people live.

Who is paid. Carriers, builders and launch firms would buy it, and as the substance could be copied once made, firms that already build vehicles and craft would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Society and economy · 2
Illustration of Breed Humans For Machines: A deliberate policy of weeding out robust people so humanity grows suited to a sheltered mechanical life.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Breed Humans For Machines

The Machine Stops, E.M. Forster · 1909

A deliberate policy of weeding out robust people so humanity grows suited to a sheltered mechanical life.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

No prizeNothing is soldas a model judges it

Why

No prize. A policy or worry about who may have children is a matter of rule and society, not something anyone would buy.

Who is paid. Nothing is sold, so nobody pays and no seller keeps anything.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of The Book of the Machine: A single manual holding every instruction a person requires to live inside an automated world.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

The Book of the Machine

The Machine Stops, E.M. Forster · 1909

A single manual holding every instruction a person requires to live inside an automated world.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeA government pays; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A manual for daily life is a convenience.

Who is paid. I assumed the authority that runs the automated world issues it and pays, and anyone can print a book.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Ideas from Technovelgy: Science Fiction Timeline of Inventions (Bill Christensen) (archived copy), as compiled in Not Boring: Sci-Fi Idea Bank (Packy McCormick); names, works, authors and years are theirs and every description is this site's rewording. Categories, arrival decades and profit are judged by AI models, not people. Method