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Futures · imagined

Imagined in the 1870s

The technologies stories first imagined in this decade, by kind, with whether each has been built since and who would keep the profit.

By kind of technology

Computing, AI and virtual worlds · 1
Illustration of Mechanical Consciousness: Machines gradually evolving an inner awareness of their own, much as living species once did.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Mechanical Consciousness

Erewhon, Samuel Butler · 1872

Machines gradually evolving an inner awareness of their own, much as living species once did.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

No prizeNothing is soldas a model judges it

Why

No prize. Machines slowly growing aware is something that happens in the story and not a product.

Who is paid. Nothing is sold, so nobody pays and no seller keeps anything.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Communication, media and displays · 1
Illustration of Home News Printer: A household machine that produces a paper copy of whichever newspaper you pick, sent over a wire.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Home News Printer

The Senator's Daughter, Edward Page Mitchell · 1879

A household machine that produces a paper copy of whichever newspaper you pick, sent over a wire.

built in the 1970s, about 100 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Printing the paper at home saves a delivery and is a convenience for readers.

Who is paid. Readers pay for the machine and the paper they pick, the machine is easy to copy, and the newspapers that own the news collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Medicine, biotech and longevity · 1
Illustration of Suspended Animation (Frigorific Process): Freezing a living person so the body can be stored for years and later revived.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Suspended Animation (Frigorific Process)

The Senator's Daughter, Edward Page Mitchell · 1879

Freezing a living person so the body can be stored for years and later revived.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: 2100 or later

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Putting people safely into long dormancy would make very long journeys possible and give hospitals time to treat the gravely ill.

Who is paid. I assumed carriers and hospitals buy it; the method could be copied once known, so the firms that already run ships and hospitals collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Transport and mobility · 3
Illustration of Diving Apparatus: Self-contained breathing gear that lets a person roam around the ocean floor for hours.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Diving Apparatus

20,000 Leagues Under the Sea, Jules Verne · 1875

Self-contained breathing gear that lets a person roam around the ocean floor for hours.

built in 1943, 68 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Breathing gear for roaming the sea floor opened diving for sport, salvage and science, which is a real but modest trade.

Who is paid. I assume sport divers are the main buyers, and many firms can make tanks and valves, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Nautilus: A large, self-sufficient electric submarine able to roam the oceans for long periods without surfacing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Nautilus

20,000 Leagues Under the Sea, Jules Verne · 1875

A large, self-sufficient electric submarine able to roam the oceans for long periods without surfacing.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A large prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A submarine that stays under for long periods and feeds itself is worth a great deal to a navy and an industry to those who build it.

Who is paid. I assume navies are the main buyers, and the shipyards that already hold naval contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Telepomp (Matter Transmission): A machine that breaks an object down in one place and reassembles it somewhere else.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Telepomp (Matter Transmission)

The Man Without a Body, Edward Page Mitchell · 1877

A machine that breaks an object down in one place and reassembles it somewhere else.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A vast prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A vast prize. Sending things instantly across any distance would replace most shipping and haulage, which changes how most people are supplied and how most firms work.

Who is paid. Traders and carriers pay, since the description sends objects and not people, which is why the payer differs from the booths for travellers; once a firm had built it others could, so the carriers and builders that already own the depots and the customers collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Materials, manufacturing and construction · 1
Illustration of Undersea Mining: Extracting metals and minerals from deposits lying on the deep ocean bottom.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Undersea Mining

20,000 Leagues Under the Sea, Jules Verne · 1875

Extracting metals and minerals from deposits lying on the deep ocean bottom.

built in the 1960s, about 90 years after it was imagined

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Metals from the deep ocean floor would add a great new supply for industry.

Who is paid. Metal users buy the ore, and many could build the gear, so mining firms with ships, money and seabed claims collect; I assumed claims are not scarce.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Weapons and warfare · 2
Illustration of Electrify the Rail: Charging a vessel's metal skin with high voltage so anyone who touches it gets shocked.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Electrify the Rail

20,000 Leagues Under the Sea, Jules Verne · 1875

Charging a vessel's metal skin with high voltage so anyone who touches it gets shocked.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Charging a hull to shock boarders is a simple trick for a few vessels.

Who is paid. Assuming shipowners fit it against boarders, any marine electrician can do the work.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Leyden Ball: A projectile for undersea hunting that stuns or kills its target with a strong electric discharge.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Leyden Ball

20,000 Leagues Under the Sea, Jules Verne · 1875

A projectile for undersea hunting that stuns or kills its target with a strong electric discharge.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. An electric projectile for hunting under the sea serves a small group of divers and fishers.

Who is paid. Hunters and divers buy it, and a charged dart is simple enough that many workshops could make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Food, agriculture and environment · 1
Illustration of Compact Food Pastilles: A single tiny tablet holding enough nourishment to feed a person for weeks.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Compact Food Pastilles

The Senator's Daughter, Edward Page Mitchell · 1879

A single tiny tablet holding enough nourishment to feed a person for weeks.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Judged as if it worked, one tablet that feeds a person for weeks would be an industry of its own and would change how armies, travellers and the hungry are fed, though I assumed most people would still eat ordinary meals for pleasure.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed the recipe can be copied once it is known, so the food and pharmacy brands with shop space collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Society and economy · 1
Illustration of Fossil Shell Coin: Using the scarce remains of a vanished sea creature as currency whose value rests on limited supply.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Fossil Shell Coin

The Coming Race, Edward Bulwer-Lytton · 1871

Using the scarce remains of a vanished sea creature as currency whose value rests on limited supply.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

No prizeNothing is soldas a model judges it

Why

No prize. Using scarce old shells as money is a custom, and the shells are found, not made.

Who is paid. Nothing is sold, so nobody pays and no seller keeps anything.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Ideas from Technovelgy: Science Fiction Timeline of Inventions (Bill Christensen) (archived copy), as compiled in Not Boring: Sci-Fi Idea Bank (Packy McCormick); names, works, authors and years are theirs and every description is this site's rewording. Categories, arrival decades and profit are judged by AI models, not people. Method