Expected in the 2010s
Dated forecasts that name this time, as their authors stated them, then the unbuilt ideas AI models placed here.
What authors forecast for the 2010s
Kurzweil expects computers around 2010 to fade from view, built into clothing, furniture and surroundings.
Ray Kurzweil · 2010
From The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Kurzweil expects drugs that let people eat freely without putting on weight to reach patients between 2010 and 2015.
Ray Kurzweil · 2010 to 2015
From The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Yudkowsky extrapolates that computers with the raw processing power some attribute to the human brain will appear around 2015.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · 2015
From Staring into the Singularity, Eliezer Yudkowsky, 1996
Drexler's rough estimate put working molecular nanotechnology around 2015.
Eric Drexler · 2015
From Staring into the Singularity, Eliezer Yudkowsky, 1996
Bostrom expects supercomputers able to simulate every neuron individually to arrive between about 2015 and 2024.
Nick Bostrom · 2015 to 2024 ·
we will have to wait until about 2015 or 2024
From How Long Before Superintelligence?, Nick Bostrom, 1998
Yudkowsky guesses that molecular nanotechnology will arrive by 2010 at the latest, ahead of earlier timetables.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · by 2010 ·
My own guess would be no later than 2010.
From Staring into the Singularity, Eliezer Yudkowsky, 1996
Yudkowsky claims to see a full path to the Singularity, probably reachable by 2010, and substantially sooner with heavy funding if the research problems prove tractable.
Eliezer Yudkowsky · by 2010 · probably ·
I think we could probably do it by 2010
From Staring into the Singularity, Eliezer Yudkowsky, 1996
Moravec projected in 1988 that computer hardware able to support roughly human-level performance would exist by 2010.
Hans Moravec · by 2010
From Signs of the Singularity, Vernor Vinge, 2008
Kurzweil expects supercomputers to reach the raw capacity of one human brain by 2010.
Ray Kurzweil · by 2010 ·
supercomputers will achieve one human brain capacity by 2010
From The Law of Accelerating Returns, Ray Kurzweil, 2001; The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Kurzweil expects genomics and related biotechnology to lift life expectancy by more than a year for each passing year by 2011.
Ray Kurzweil · by 2011 ·
we will be adding more than a year every year within ten years
From The Law of Accelerating Returns, Ray Kurzweil, 2001
Bostrom thinks the brain science required to build human-level AI could plausibly be in hand by 2012.
Nick Bostrom · by 2012 · perhaps ·
might be obtained in perhaps fifteen years from now, i.e. by year 2012
From How Long Before Superintelligence?, Nick Bostrom, 1998
Aubrey de Grey expects scientists to show robustly rejuvenated mice, functionally younger and longer lived, by 2015.
Aubrey de Grey · by 2015
From The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Sandberg and Bostrom expect electron microscopes with around a thousand parallel beams, each at current speed, to be feasible by 2018.
Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom · by 2018 ·
appears reachable within the next ten years
From Whole Brain Emulation: A Roadmap, Anders Sandberg & Nick Bostrom, 2008
The Hinxton Group expected human eggs and sperm grown from stem cells to be available by 2018.
Hinxton Group · by 2018
From Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies, Nick Bostrom, 2014
Kurzweil projects affordable hardware with human-level computing power by 2018, extrapolating the chip industry's own roadmap.
Ray Kurzweil · by 2018
From The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Kurzweil projects that a thousand dollars will buy ten trillion bits of memory around 2018.
Ray Kurzweil · by 2018
From The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Kurzweil expects the shrinking of transistors on flat chips to reach its limit by 2019, with three-dimensional molecular circuits taking over.
Ray Kurzweil · by 2019 ·
Moore’s Law will die a dignified death no later than the year 2019
From The Law of Accelerating Returns, Ray Kurzweil, 2001; The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Kurzweil extrapolates supercomputers reaching the roughly brain-scale speed of ten quadrillion operations a second during the early 2010s.
Ray Kurzweil · the 2010s
From The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Ideas from Technovelgy: Science Fiction Timeline of Inventions (Bill Christensen) (archived copy), as compiled in Not Boring: Sci-Fi Idea Bank (Packy McCormick); names, works, authors and years are theirs and every description is this site's rewording. Categories, arrival decades and profit are judged by AI models, not people. Method