Expected in the 2000s
Dated forecasts that name this time, as their authors stated them, then the unbuilt ideas AI models placed here.
What authors forecast for the 2000s
Bostrom expects the best supercomputers to reach the lower-bound estimate of brain-simulating power at some point from 2004 to 2008.
Nick Bostrom · 2004 to 2008 ·
the required computational power will be reached sometime between 2004 and 2008
From How Long Before Superintelligence?, Nick Bostrom, 1998
Bostrom suggests the understanding needed to simulate the neocortex efficiently may exist between 2004 and 2008.
Nick Bostrom · 2004 to 2008 · might ·
the knowledge might be available by 2004 to 2008
From How Long Before Superintelligence?, Nick Bostrom, 1998
Vinge would be surprised if smarter-than-human intelligence appeared earlier than 2005 or later than 2030.
Vernor Vinge · 2005 to 2030 ·
this event occurs before 2005 or after 2030
· on the prediction ledgerFrom The Coming Technological Singularity, Vernor Vinge, 1993; Signs of the Singularity, Vernor Vinge, 2008
Bostrom expects present silicon chip technology to run into its physical limits around 2007.
Nick Bostrom · 2007 ·
In about the year 2007 we will have reached the physical limit
From How Long Before Superintelligence?, Nick Bostrom, 1998
Nanosolar chief Martin Roscheisen estimated his nanoparticle solar films could bring solar costs down to around half a dollar per watt by 2006.
Martin Roscheisen · by 2006
From The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Kurzweil expects glasses and contact lenses that draw images straight onto the retina to deliver immersive sight-and-sound worlds by 2009.
Ray Kurzweil · by 2009 ·
Full immersion visual-auditory environments will be available by the end of this decade
From The Law of Accelerating Returns, Ray Kurzweil, 2001
Kurzweil expects websites to become visual and audio virtual spaces by 2009, staffed by simulated people good enough for sales and booking work.
Ray Kurzweil · by 2009
From The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Ray Kurzweil, 2005
Ideas from Technovelgy: Science Fiction Timeline of Inventions (Bill Christensen) (archived copy), as compiled in Not Boring: Sci-Fi Idea Bank (Packy McCormick); names, works, authors and years are theirs and every description is this site's rewording. Categories, arrival decades and profit are judged by AI models, not people. Method