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Futures · kind of technology

Home and everyday life

Dated forecasts about this kind of technology from the singularity reading list, then every idea of this kind in the order stories first imagined it.

Illustration for Home and everyday lifeIllustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Imagined, oldest first

How large a prize, and which seller keeps the rest

Each idea is judged as if it worked the way its story promises: how large a prize it would be, who would pay, and which seller would keep what is left once buyers have had their gain. Choose a cell to see only those ideas; each count is the cards that cell shows. Every placing is a model's judgement, not a reading.

SellerA vast prizeA large prizeA small prizeNo prize
No seller keeps much
The maker keeps the rest
Existing firms keep the rest
Permit holders keep the rest
Nothing is sold

Illustration of Electrified Fence: A wire barrier charged with current strong enough to stop anyone from crossing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Electrified Fence

A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court, Mark Twain · 1889

A wire barrier charged with current strong enough to stop anyone from crossing.

built in the 1930s, about 50 years after it was imagined

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A charged fence keeps animals in and people out, which is useful but narrow.

Who is paid. Farms and guarded sites buy it, and wire with a current through it is simple for anyone to supply.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Undersea City: A large settlement on the seabed sealed beneath a transparent dome.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Undersea City

The Crystal City Under the Sea, Andre Laurie · 1895

A large settlement on the seabed sealed beneath a transparent dome.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: 2100 or later

A large prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A large settlement on the seabed would open new living space, though few would need to live there.

Who is paid. Unlike a town inside a building on ordinary land, the dome and seabed works shelter everyone at once and no resident could be charged singly for them, so I assumed a government pays and the big building firms that already hold such contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Automatic Door: A doorway panel that opens by itself when someone approaches.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Automatic Door

When the Sleeper Wakes, H.G. Wells · 1899

A doorway panel that opens by itself when someone approaches.

built in the 1960s, about 70 years after it was imagined

A small prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A door that opens itself is a convenience for shops and busy buildings.

Who is paid. Shops and building owners buy it, and the firms that already fit and service doors in buildings collect, since the mechanism is easy to copy.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Town In One Building: A single enormous structure containing housing, shops and services for a whole community.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Town In One Building

When the Sleeper Wakes, H.G. Wells · 1899

A single enormous structure containing housing, shops and services for a whole community.

built in the 2020s, about 130 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A whole town inside a building is a new way of housing and serving a community.

Who is paid. Residents buy or lease the homes and shops inside, as they would in any large development, and since others could put up such a structure the developers and landowners who already hold the sites collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Glass Dome: A vast transparent roof sheltering an entire city from weather.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Glass Dome

A Modern Utopia, H.G. Wells · 1905

A vast transparent roof sheltering an entire city from weather.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A large prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Sheltering a whole city from weather is a public work on the scale of an industry.

Who is paid. No citizen could be charged singly for the roof over everyone, so the city pays, and the large construction firms that already win such contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Machine Apartment: A sealed personal room where every need is delivered by automated services so its occupant never leaves.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Machine Apartment

The Machine Stops, E.M. Forster · 1909

A sealed personal room where every need is delivered by automated services so its occupant never leaves.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A vast prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A vast prize. A room that delivers every need by machine would free its occupant from housework and errands, whatever the story thinks of the life that results.

Who is paid. Occupants pay for the room and its services, and no single firm could keep the idea to itself, so the appliance makers, builders and delivery networks that already reach every home would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Phonographic Locks: A door lock that opens when it recognises a person's voice.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Phonographic Locks

A Journey to the Year 2025, Clement Fezandie · 1921

A door lock that opens when it recognises a person's voice.

built in 2017, 96 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Opening a door by voice saves carrying a key, which is a convenience.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any lock maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Atomic Percolator: Brews coffee using heat from radioactive material.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Atomic Percolator

The Golden Girl of Munan, Harl Vincent · 1928

Brews coffee using heat from radioactive material.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: 2100 or later

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. It makes coffee, which ordinary heat already does well.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and the story has it sold freely, so I assumed any appliance maker may buy the radioactive source and build the same thing, and no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Electric Diaper: A nappy that signals when it needs changing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Electric Diaper

The Psychophonic Nurse, David H. Keller · 1928

A nappy that signals when it needs changing.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A nappy that says when it is wet saves parents some checking.

Who is paid. Parents buy it, and the signal is easy to add, so the nappy brands that already fill the shop shelves collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Cubic City: An entire town housed within one enormous structure, with homes, work and services stacked inside.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Cubic City

The Cubic City, Louis Tucker, D.D. · 1929

An entire town housed within one enormous structure, with homes, work and services stacked inside.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Housing a whole town with its work and services in a single structure is a building project on the scale of an industry.

Who is paid. Residents buy or lease the homes and shops inside, as they would in any large development, and since others could put up such a structure the developers and landowners who already hold the sites collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Sunparlor: A huge glass-roofed promenade inside a giant building where residents can bask in daylight indoors.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sunparlor

The Cubic City, Louis Tucker, D.D. · 1929

A huge glass-roofed promenade inside a giant building where residents can bask in daylight indoors.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A glass-roofed promenade is a pleasant shared space inside a giant building.

Who is paid. The building owner pays for it, and anyone can build a glass roof, so the developers who already hold the building collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Planet City: A world whose whole surface has been built over into one continuous urban sprawl.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Planet City

The Message From Space, David M. Speaker · 1930

A world whose whole surface has been built over into one continuous urban sprawl.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: 2100 or later

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A world wholly built over houses a great many people, but it is ordinary city building repeated everywhere.

Who is paid. Households pay for homes in it, and since anyone can put up buildings, those who already own the land collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Puff-Pipe: A smoking pipe that ignites its own tobacco without a separate match.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Puff-Pipe

Flamingo: A Drama of A.D. 1950, Clarence Edward Heller · 1930

A smoking pipe that ignites its own tobacco without a separate match.

built in the 2000s, about 70 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A pipe that lights itself saves a match, which is a small convenience.

Who is paid. Smokers buy it and any pipe maker can add an igniter, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Theater Seat Indicators: Signals in a playhouse that make empty places easy for arriving audience members to spot.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Theater Seat Indicators

Flamingo: A Drama of A.D. 1950, Clarence Edward Heller · 1930

Signals in a playhouse that make empty places easy for arriving audience members to spot.

built in the 1950s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Showing which seats are empty helps a theatre fill up a little faster.

Who is paid. Theatre owners buy it and any electrical firm can fit it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Communication Disk: A wearable timepiece that keeps itself correct from a centrally broadcast signal.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Communication Disk

Exiles of the Moon, Nat Schachner (w. AL Zagat · 1931

A wearable timepiece that keeps itself correct from a centrally broadcast signal.

built in the 2010s, about 80 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A watch that never needs setting is a small improvement on a watch.

Who is paid. Wearers buy it, and receiving a time signal is easy for any watch maker to add.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Iron Inlay Plates: Dishes with embedded iron held to a magnetised dining table so they stay put.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Iron Inlay Plates

A Daring Trip To Mars, Max Valier · 1931

Dishes with embedded iron held to a magnetised dining table so they stay put.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Plates that stay put on the table matter only where things slide about, as on a ship in flight.

Who is paid. I assumed travellers and crews buy them, and a plate with iron in it is simple for anyone to make.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Lens-Tube: A compact optical tube for looking at things at moderate distance, much like a small spyglass.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Lens-Tube

The Doom From Planet 4, Jack Williamson · 1931

A compact optical tube for looking at things at moderate distance, much like a small spyglass.

already existed before the story (1923)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A small spyglass is a handy tool for looking at things some way off.

Who is paid. People buy it for themselves, and any maker of lenses can produce it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Sound Nullifier: A system that cancels sound waves so noise does not get through.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sound Nullifier

Prima Donna 1980, Bernard Brown · 1931

A system that cancels sound waves so noise does not get through.

built in the 2000s, about 70 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Stopping outside noise getting through would be wanted in most homes, far beyond the real headphone version; I assumed it quiets a whole home and not just a patch.

Who is paid. I assumed it is fitted to keep noise out of a home, so households buy it, and once the method of opposing noise is known many firms could make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Centrifugal Bumble-Puppy: A spinning-machine ball game for children, designed so playing it means buying lots of equipment.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Centrifugal Bumble-Puppy

Brave New World, Aldous Huxley · 1932

A spinning-machine ball game for children, designed so playing it means buying lots of equipment.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. It is a children's game, valued as play.

Who is paid. Parents pay, and though the game is built to need a lot of gear, any toy maker could make that gear, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Pent House: A tower fully sealed off from the outside world so its occupants live apart from the city below.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pent House

The Pent House, David H. Keller · 1932

A tower fully sealed off from the outside world so its occupants live apart from the city below.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A tower sealed off from the city is a luxury retreat for a few rich households.

Who is paid. Rich households buy places in it, and since others could build the same, developers who already hold land and money collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Checker-City: An urban layout that alternates green park squares with built blocks in a grid, spreading greenery evenly across town.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Checker-City

The Star-Roamers, Edmond Hamilton · 1933

An urban layout that alternates green park squares with built blocks in a grid, spreading greenery evenly across town.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Spreading parks evenly through a town is a pleasant plan, but it is a layout and not a new thing to sell.

Who is paid. A city government pays to lay the town out this way, and the plan is free to copy, so the ordinary builders and landscapers who do the work collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Food Preparation Machine: A kitchen appliance that assembles and cooks entire dishes on its own, from raw ingredients to plated meals.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Food Preparation Machine

Unto Us A Child Is Born, David H. Keller · 1933

A kitchen appliance that assembles and cooks entire dishes on its own, from raw ingredients to plated meals.

built in the 2010s, about 80 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A machine that turns raw food into finished meals would take over daily cooking, a large part of housework though not all of it, and the real machines so far do less.

Who is paid. I assumed a home machine, so families buy it, and the appliance makers who already reach every kitchen would copy each other and collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Electric Menu: Diners pick their meals on an electric panel and the kitchen receives orders without any server.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Electric Menu

Liners of Time, John Russell Fearn · 1935

Diners pick their meals on an electric panel and the kitchen receives orders without any server.

built in the 1990s, about 60 years after it was imagined

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Ordering from a panel saves a restaurant some of its serving work, though the food must still be carried out.

Who is paid. Restaurants buy the ordering system, and many firms can build such a system, so the saving passes to restaurants and diners.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Mudshoes: Wide footwear that spreads the wearer's weight so they can walk across soft, sticky ground without sinking.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Mudshoes

Parasite Planet, Stanley G. Weinbaum · 1935

Wide footwear that spreads the wearer's weight so they can walk across soft, sticky ground without sinking.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Shoes for crossing soft ground serve a narrow group of walkers and workers.

Who is paid. Households buy them and any footwear maker can produce wide shoes, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Luxobe Crystals: Crystals that glow to light up their surroundings.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Luxobe Crystals

Moon Crystals, J. Harvey Haggard · 1936

Crystals that glow to light up their surroundings.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; the maker keeps the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. The description gives only a soft glow, so I judged them as lamps for decoration and not as a way to light everything without power.

Who is paid. People buy them for the home, and I assumed the crystals are dug from a few places and cannot be made, so whoever owns those places keeps what is left.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Barber Helmet: A helmet worn on the head that trims hair automatically.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Barber Helmet

Ben Gleed, King of Speed, Don Wilcox · 1939

A helmet worn on the head that trims hair automatically.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A haircut at home without a barber saves a small regular errand.

Who is paid. I assumed a home device, so people buy it for themselves, and other appliance makers could copy the cutting helmet.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Floating Spherical Pool: A ball of water held in the air by gravity control for swimming.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Floating Spherical Pool

One Against The Legion, Jack Williamson · 1939

A ball of water held in the air by gravity control for swimming.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Swimming in a floating ball of water is a thrill for visitors, not a need.

Who is paid. I assumed resorts and pleasure grounds buy it to draw visitors, and once gravity could be controlled at all, many firms could build such a pool.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Smoke Filter: Cleans tobacco smoke from a sealed cabin's air so crews can light up.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Smoke Filter

Misfit, Robert Heinlein · 1939

Cleans tobacco smoke from a sealed cabin's air so crews can light up.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Clearing tobacco smoke from sealed cabin air is a narrow comfort for crews.

Who is paid. Ship operators buy it and many firms can make air filters, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Air Blast: A personal blower that dries you with a stream of air.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Air Blast

Coventry, Robert Heinlein · 1940

A personal blower that dries you with a stream of air.

already existed before the story (the 1900s)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Drying off with warm air instead of a towel is a convenience.

Who is paid. People buy it for the bathroom, and a blower is simple for any appliance maker to build.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Asbestos Sunshade: A heat-resistant screen carried or worn to block harsh sunlight.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Asbestos Sunshade

The Achilles Heel, Raymond Z. Gallun · 1940

A heat-resistant screen carried or worn to block harsh sunlight.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A shade against harsh sun is a simple comfort.

Who is paid. People buy it for themselves, and a heat-proof screen is easy for anyone to make.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Floating Villa: A man-made floating island big enough to hold a private residence and grounds.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Floating Villa

Doom Over Venus, Edmond Hamilton · 1940

A man-made floating island big enough to hold a private residence and grounds.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A private island that floats is a luxury for the very rich.

Who is paid. Rich families buy it, and the shipyards and marine builders who already make large floating structures collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Knockdown Cabin: A rigid-walled portable hut that can be put up fast and taken down again.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Knockdown Cabin

Coventry, Robert Heinlein · 1940

A rigid-walled portable hut that can be put up fast and taken down again.

already existed before the story (the 1900s)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A hut that goes up and comes down quickly suits campers and work crews.

Who is paid. I assumed campers and travellers buy it, and folding walls are easy for many makers to produce.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Lighting Panel: A broad flat light source that glows without giving off warmth.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Lighting Panel

Let There Be Light, Lyle Monroe · 1940

A broad flat light source that glows without giving off warmth.

built in the 1960s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A flat panel that glows without wasted heat cuts the power bill for lighting everywhere, which changes a whole industry's costs.

Who is paid. Homes and firms both buy lighting, and once the method is known many makers can produce the panels, so buyers keep nearly all the saving.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Radium-Action Lighter: A pocket igniter for cigarettes and pipes powered by a radioactive source.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Radium-Action Lighter

The Worlds of Tomorrow, Manly Wade Wellman · 1940

A pocket igniter for cigarettes and pipes powered by a radioactive source.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A lighter that never needs fuel is a small convenience for smokers.

Who is paid. Smokers buy it, and I assumed the radioactive source is as freely sold as the lighter itself, so any maker of small gadgets could copy it and no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Refreshing Chamber: An automated washing room that takes over every job of the ordinary bathroom.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Refreshing Chamber

Coventry, Robert Heinlein · 1940

An automated washing room that takes over every job of the ordinary bathroom.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A room that does every bathroom job by itself is a comfort, since people already wash without it.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the firms that already make bathroom fittings collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Telechronometer: A watch that keeps itself set by signals from a distant clock.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Telechronometer

Blowups Happen, Robert Heinlein · 1940

A watch that keeps itself set by signals from a distant clock.

built in the 1960s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A watch that sets itself from a distant clock saves a small task.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any watch maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Atmospherics Switchboard: A control panel that fills each guest room with the air mix of that guest's home world.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Atmospherics Switchboard

Lie on the Beam, John Victor Peterson · 1941

A control panel that fills each guest room with the air mix of that guest's home world.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Matching room air to each guest's home world serves only hotels with visitors from other worlds.

Who is paid. Hotels buy it, and the firms that already fit heating and air systems into buildings could add it and collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Automated Hotel Reservation: A hotel run without front-desk staff where guests book and check in themselves.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Automated Hotel Reservation

Methuselah's Children, Robert Heinlein · 1941

A hotel run without front-desk staff where guests book and check in themselves.

built in the 1990s, about 50 years after it was imagined

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Doing without a front desk saves a hotel a modest part of its costs.

Who is paid. Hotels buy the booking system, and many firms can write such a system, so the saving passes to hotels and guests.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Fresher: An all-in-one hygiene booth meant to replace the shower, basin and toilet.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Fresher

Methuselah's Children, Robert Heinlein · 1941

An all-in-one hygiene booth meant to replace the shower, basin and toilet.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Putting the shower, basin and toilet in a single booth saves space but does what bathrooms already do.

Who is paid. Home owners buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the makers and fitters of bathroom fixtures collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Self-Lighting Cigarette: A cigarette with its own striking tip, so it needs no separate match.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Self-Lighting Cigarette

Methuselah's Children, Robert Heinlein · 1941

A cigarette with its own striking tip, so it needs no separate match.

built in the 1960s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A cigarette with its own striking tip saves a match, which is a small convenience.

Who is paid. Smokers buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the tobacco firms that already sell cigarettes collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Capillotomer: A robot that shaves a person's face automatically without a human barber.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Capillotomer

Beyond This Horizon, Robert Heinlein · 1942

A robot that shaves a person's face automatically without a human barber.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. An automatic shave saves a little time each morning.

Who is paid. I assumed a home device, so people buy it for themselves, and other appliance makers could copy it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Radiation Garment: Everyday clothing that shields ordinary people from some harmful radiation.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Radiation Garment

Waldo, Robert Heinlein · 1942

Everyday clothing that shields ordinary people from some harmful radiation.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Clothing that blocks some harmful radiation matters only where such radiation is common.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and once the cloth exists any clothing maker could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Zero-G Ashtray: A tray that traps ash and smoke where there is no gravity to hold them.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Zero-G Ashtray

Waldo, Robert Heinlein · 1942

A tray that traps ash and smoke where there is no gravity to hold them.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. An ashtray that works without gravity serves the few who smoke in space.

Who is paid. Those smokers buy it and any maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Adjustable House: A home whose flexible walls and frame can be reshaped to change its layout.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Adjustable House

Gather, Darkness!, Fritz Leiber · 1943

A home whose flexible walls and frame can be reshaped to change its layout.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A home whose layout can be changed spares some rebuilding, but it is a feature of a house and does not make housing cheaper or more plentiful.

Who is paid. Home owners pay, and once the flexible material is known the builders and developers who already hold land and customers would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Airpolo: A sport where players ride small flying machines to strike floating balls in the air.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Airpolo

Sunward Flight, Leo Zagat · 1943

A sport where players ride small flying machines to strike floating balls in the air.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A flying ball game is an entertainment for players and watchers, not a need.

Who is paid. Players and spectators pay, and nobody can own a sport, so any club or maker of small flying machines can take part.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Coldlight: Lighting that gives off brightness while producing almost no warmth.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Coldlight

Sunward Flight, Leo Zagat · 1943

Lighting that gives off brightness while producing almost no warmth.

built in the 1960s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Light with almost no wasted heat cuts the power bill for lighting everywhere, which changes a whole industry's costs.

Who is paid. Homes and firms both buy lamps, and once the method is known many makers can produce them, so buyers keep nearly all the saving.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Plastibulb: A soft plastic pouch you squeeze to drink from.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Plastibulb

The Proud Robot, Lewis Padgett · 1943

A soft plastic pouch you squeeze to drink from.

built in the 1940s, about 0 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A squeezable pouch to drink from is a plain drinking vessel.

Who is paid. I assumed people buy it for themselves as they would a cup, and anyone can make a pouch, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Pneumo-Slacks: Inflatable trousers that pad out the wearer's legs to seem more muscular.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pneumo-Slacks

The Proud Robot, Lewis Padgett · 1943

Inflatable trousers that pad out the wearer's legs to seem more muscular.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Trousers that pad the legs to look muscular are a vanity item.

Who is paid. Households buy them and any clothing maker can copy them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Robot Lawn Mower: A machine that cuts the grass on its own without a person pushing it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Robot Lawn Mower

City, Clifford Simak · 1944

A machine that cuts the grass on its own without a person pushing it.

built in 1995, 51 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Cutting the grass without a person saves a chore for those with lawns.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make a small garden machine, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Self-Opening Box: A container whose lid opens by itself without anyone touching it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Self-Opening Box

Child's Play, William Tenn · 1947

A container whose lid opens by itself without anyone touching it.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A lid that opens by itself is a minor convenience.

Who is paid. Households buy it and anyone can make such a box, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of High-Frequency Oven: An oven that heats food quickly with radio waves.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

High-Frequency Oven

Space Cadet, Robert Heinlein · 1948

An oven that heats food quickly with radio waves.

built in the 1940s, about 0 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Heating food in moments changed how kitchens work and became an industry of its own.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and the method soon became easy to copy, so the appliance makers with factories and shop space collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Fluor Strips: Slim elongated light fixtures.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Fluor Strips

Sacred Martian Pig (Idris' Pig), Margaret St. Clair · 1949

Slim elongated light fixtures.

already existed before the story (the 1930s)

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. The description gives only the shape, so I assumed these are the long cool-running tube lights the name suggests, which cut the power bill for lighting shops, offices and homes.

Who is paid. Homes and firms both buy them, and many makers can produce them, so buyers keep nearly all the saving.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Fresher: An automated cubicle that washes, grooms and tidies a person.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Fresher

Gulf, Robert Heinlein · 1949

An automated cubicle that washes, grooms and tidies a person.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A booth that washes and grooms you saves some time, but it does what bathrooms already do.

Who is paid. Home owners buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the makers and fitters of bathroom fixtures collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Painted Respirator Masks: Breathing masks that children personalise with their own painted designs.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Painted Respirator Masks

Red Planet, Robert Heinlein · 1949

Breathing masks that children personalise with their own painted designs.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Decorating a breathing mask is a small pleasure added to gear people already own.

Who is paid. Households buy the masks and paint, and any maker can supply them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Self-Igniter: A cigarette that lights itself when you start smoking it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Self-Igniter

The Howling Bounders, Jack Vance · 1949

A cigarette that lights itself when you start smoking it.

already existed before the story (the 1920s)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A cigarette that lights itself saves a match, which is a small convenience.

Who is paid. Smokers buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the tobacco firms that already sell cigarettes collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Shari: A mesh garment that doubles as a carrying net and other tools.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Shari

Sacred Martian Pig (Idris' Pig), Margaret St. Clair · 1949

A mesh garment that doubles as a carrying net and other tools.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A mesh garment that also serves as a carrying net is a handy piece of clothing.

Who is paid. Households buy it and anyone can make mesh clothing, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Automatic Light Switch: A sensor that switches off the lamps when nobody is present.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Automatic Light Switch

The Man Who Sold The Moon, Robert Heinlein · 1950

A sensor that switches off the lamps when nobody is present.

built in the 2010s, about 60 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Turning lamps off in empty rooms saves a little power.

Who is paid. Home owners buy it, and the sensor is a cheap part many firms make.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Computer-Controlled House: A home that runs itself, cooking, cleaning and managing chores automatically.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Computer-Controlled House

The Martian Chronicles, Ray Bradbury · 1950

A home that runs itself, cooking, cleaning and managing chores automatically.

built in the 2010s, about 60 years after it was imagined

A vast prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A vast prize. A house that truly cooks, cleans and does the chores would free most households from daily housework, and the real thing so far does far less than this promise.

Who is paid. Families buy it, and no single firm could keep the idea to itself, so the appliance makers and house builders who already reach every home would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Diaheliper: An airborne service that drops fresh nappies at customers' homes.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Diaheliper

The Morning of the Day They Did It, E.B. White · 1950

An airborne service that drops fresh nappies at customers' homes.

already existed before the story (the 1940s)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Fresh nappies dropped at the door spare parents an errand.

Who is paid. Parents pay for the service, and the firms that already run delivery fleets and customer lists collect, since anyone with aircraft could offer it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Quickthaw: An oven that warms frozen meals in moments using radio waves.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Quickthaw

Farmer in the Sky, Robert Heinlein · 1950

An oven that warms frozen meals in moments using radio waves.

already existed before the story (the 1940s)

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Warming frozen meals in moments changed home cooking and is worth an industry.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the appliance makers with factories and shops collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Robotic Dishwasher: A machine that handles every step of washing up with no human help.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Robotic Dishwasher

The Martian Chronicles, Ray Bradbury · 1950

A machine that handles every step of washing up with no human help.

already existed before the story (the 1940s)

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Doing every step of washing up with no human help removes a daily chore for most homes, more than the real machines do.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the appliance makers with factories and shops collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Voice-Clock: A clock that announces the hour in a spoken voice.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Voice-Clock

The Martian Chronicles, Ray Bradbury · 1950

A clock that announces the hour in a spoken voice.

already existed before the story (the 1870s)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A clock that speaks the hour is a minor convenience.

Who is paid. Households buy it and anyone can make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Finger Watch: A timepiece built into a ring worn on the finger.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Finger Watch

Key Decision, H.B. Fyfe · 1951

A timepiece built into a ring worn on the finger.

built in the 1970s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A watch in a ring is a small change in how a watch is worn.

Who is paid. Wearers buy it, and any watch maker can fit a small timepiece into a ring.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Happylife Home: A fully automated house that feeds, cleans and entertains the family living in it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Happylife Home

The Illustrated Man, Ray Bradbury · 1951

A fully automated house that feeds, cleans and entertains the family living in it.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A vast prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A vast prize. A house that feeds, cleans and entertains the family would free most households from daily housework.

Who is paid. Families buy it, and no single firm could keep the idea to itself, so the appliance makers and house builders who already reach every home would collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Pail of Air: A small bucket used to fetch frozen atmosphere so a family can keep breathing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pail of Air

A Pail of Air, Fritz Leiber · 1951

A small bucket used to fetch frozen atmosphere so a family can keep breathing.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. It is a plain bucket, however vital its errand is in the story.

Who is paid. Households would buy it and anyone can make a bucket, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Self-Adjusting Furniture: Chairs and beds that reshape themselves to fit whoever uses them.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Self-Adjusting Furniture

First He Died (Time and Again), Clifford Simak · 1951

Chairs and beds that reshape themselves to fit whoever uses them.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Chairs and beds that fit whoever uses them add comfort to furniture people already buy.

Who is paid. Households buy them and any furniture maker can copy them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Sun-Room: An indoor chamber that gives city dwellers natural-feeling daylight without going outside.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sun-Room

Foundation, Isaac Asimov · 1951

An indoor chamber that gives city dwellers natural-feeling daylight without going outside.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Indoor light that feels like daylight is a comfort for city dwellers.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed it is a lighting fitting many firms could make, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of The Veldt: A children's playroom whose walls conjure lifelike immersive worlds.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

The Veldt

The Illustrated Man, Ray Bradbury · 1951

A children's playroom whose walls conjure lifelike immersive worlds.

built in the 2010s, about 60 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A room whose walls conjure lifelike worlds would be home entertainment worth an industry, beyond what real headsets deliver.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and it could be copied, so electronics and entertainment firms with factories and catalogues collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Vocalex Kitchen: A kitchen that prepares meals on spoken instruction.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Vocalex Kitchen

The Jester, William Tenn · 1951

A kitchen that prepares meals on spoken instruction.

built in the 2010s, about 60 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A kitchen that cooks meals when told would take over daily cooking in most homes, far beyond the real voice gadgets.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and it could be copied, so the appliance makers with factories and shops collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Automated Wake-Up Call: A machine that rouses sleepers at a set time without a human caller.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Automated Wake-Up Call

The Kokod Warriors, Jack Vance · 1952

A machine that rouses sleepers at a set time without a human caller.

built in the 2010s, about 60 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Being woken on time by a machine is a small convenience.

Who is paid. Sleepers buy it, and a timed alarm is something any maker can produce.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Depilatory Soap: A bar that cleans skin and dissolves hair in one step.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Depilatory Soap

Gravy Planet, Frederik Pohl (w/CM Kornbluth · 1952

A bar that cleans skin and dissolves hair in one step.

already existed before the story (the 1900s)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Washing and removing hair in a single step saves a little time in the bathroom.

Who is paid. Shoppers buy it, and the recipe is easy to copy, so the soap brands that already hold the shop shelves collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Hydropathic bed: A warm cushioned mattress filled with a fluid softer than a waterbed.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Hydropathic bed

The Demolished Man, Alfred Bester · 1952

A warm cushioned mattress filled with a fluid softer than a waterbed.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A softer, warmer mattress is a comfort.

Who is paid. Sleepers buy it, and any bedding maker could fill a mattress with a soft fluid.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Photo Crystal (Cube): A small block you hold that shows a stored photograph.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Photo Crystal (Cube)

Foundation and Empire, Isaac Asimov · 1952

A small block you hold that shows a stored photograph.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A block that shows a stored photograph is a keepsake.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Solar-powered Prefab House: A factory-built home running on sunlight so it needs no utility hookups.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Solar-powered Prefab House

Ring Around the Sun, Clifford Simak · 1952

A factory-built home running on sunlight so it needs no utility hookups.

built in the 1970s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A factory-built home running on sunlight with no hookups would change what housing costs to run and where it can stand.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and its parts can be copied, so home builders and equipment makers with factories and land collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Spray-On Clothing Web: A fibrous base layer sprayed onto the body that a designer then shapes into a garment.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Spray-On Clothing Web

Abercrombie Station, Jack Vance · 1952

A fibrous base layer sprayed onto the body that a designer then shapes into a garment.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A sprayed base layer that a designer shapes into a garment is a novelty way to dress.

Who is paid. I assumed it is sold as a can that is used up with each wearing and bought again, so although the spray is easy to copy, the brands that already hold the shop shelves collect, as with the skin sprays.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Spray-On Gloves: Elegant long gloves applied as a spray instead of pulled on.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Spray-On Gloves

Abercrombie Station, Jack Vance · 1952

Elegant long gloves applied as a spray instead of pulled on.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Gloves applied as a spray are a novelty way to dress.

Who is paid. I assumed it is sold as a can that is used up with each wearing and bought again, so although the spray is easy to copy, the brands that already hold the shop shelves collect, as with the skin sprays.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Wall-Light: Glowing wall surfaces that light a room instead of lamps.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Wall-Light

Foundation and Empire, Isaac Asimov · 1952

Glowing wall surfaces that light a room instead of lamps.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Walls that glow are another way of lighting a room; the description does not promise light that runs cool or cheap.

Who is paid. Households and builders buy them, and many lighting makers could copy them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Buttered Toast Robot: A kitchen machine that makes toast and spreads the butter on it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Buttered Toast Robot

Fahrenheit 451, Ray Bradbury · 1953

A kitchen machine that makes toast and spreads the butter on it.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Having toast buttered for you saves a moment at breakfast.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and it is a simple kitchen machine any appliance maker could build.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Parlor Wall (TV Parlor): A television screen as large as an entire living-room wall.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Parlor Wall (TV Parlor)

Fahrenheit 451, Ray Bradbury · 1953

A television screen as large as an entire living-room wall.

built in the 1960s, about 10 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A screen filling a whole wall is home entertainment on a scale worth an industry.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and screens are easy to copy, so the electronics makers with factories and shops collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Self-Sufficient House: A family home that supplies its own power, water and waste handling with no outside utilities.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Self-Sufficient House

Childhood's End, Arthur C. Clarke · 1953

A family home that supplies its own power, water and waste handling with no outside utilities.

built in the 1970s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A home needing no outside power, water or waste service would change what housing costs to run and where it can stand.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and its parts can be copied, so home builders and equipment makers with factories and land collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Sideglance Robe: A garment that looks see-through or solid depending on the viewing angle.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sideglance Robe

The Trouble With Bubbles, Philip K. Dick · 1953

A garment that looks see-through or solid depending on the viewing angle.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A garment that looks see-through or solid by viewing angle is a fashion novelty.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and once the cloth exists any clothing maker could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Travel-Rug: A powered floor mat that carries its rider from room to room.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Travel-Rug

Roll Out The Rolov!, Christopher Anvil · 1953

A powered floor mat that carries its rider from room to room.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A mat that carries its rider from room to room is a convenience, and a real help to the few who cannot walk easily.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed it could be copied by many makers of small machines, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Dermal-Mist Spray: A fine skin spray that cools and refreshes the user.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Dermal-Mist Spray

Prominent Author, Philip K. Dick · 1954

A fine skin spray that cools and refreshes the user.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A cooling mist gives a brief moment of freshness, which is less than lasting relief from heat.

Who is paid. Shoppers buy it, and the spray is easy to copy, so the toiletry brands that already hold the shop shelves collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Finger Jet Bath: A luxury bathtub whose many fine water jets massage the bather.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Finger Jet Bath

The Houses of Iszm, Jack Vance · 1954

A luxury bathtub whose many fine water jets massage the bather.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A massaging bath is a luxury comfort.

Who is paid. Home owners buy it, and the jets are easy to copy, so the makers and fitters of bathroom fixtures collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of One-Way Passage: A passage built so that anyone who goes through it can only leave and never come back.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

One-Way Passage

The Houses of Iszm, Jack Vance · 1954

A passage built so that anyone who goes through it can only leave and never come back.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A passage people can leave by but not return through is a narrow security fitting.

Who is paid. I assumed it works like an exit-only door, so building owners buy it and any builder can make it, leaving no seller much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Plastirobe: A garment whose see-through quality shifts with how far away the onlooker stands.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Plastirobe

Sales Pitch, Philip K. Dick · 1954

A garment whose see-through quality shifts with how far away the onlooker stands.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A garment whose see-through quality changes with distance is a fashion novelty.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and once the cloth exists any clothing maker could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Pod-Chair: A seat cultivated as a living plant and shaped as it grows to serve as furniture.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pod-Chair

The Houses of Iszm, Jack Vance · 1954

A seat cultivated as a living plant and shaped as it grows to serve as furniture.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A chair grown as a living plant is a novel way to get ordinary furniture.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed an ordinary plant trained into shape, which any grower could do, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Polarized Window: Glass that adjusts how much light it lets through, replacing curtains.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Polarized Window

The Houses of Iszm, Jack Vance · 1954

Glass that adjusts how much light it lets through, replacing curtains.

built in the 1990s, about 40 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Glass that dims itself replaces curtains, which is a convenience.

Who is paid. Households and builders buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the glass makers with factories and trade ties collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Sceneshifter: A self-running display that shows an ever-changing sequence of chance images.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sceneshifter

Last of the Masters, Philip K. Dick · 1954

A self-running display that shows an ever-changing sequence of chance images.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A display of ever-changing chance images is an ornament.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Solar-Powered Ball: A rolling plaything that moves about by itself using sunlight for energy.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Solar-Powered Ball

Dawn of the Demigods, Raymond Z. Gallun · 1954

A rolling plaything that moves about by itself using sunlight for energy.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A ball that rolls about on sunlight is a toy.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any toy maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Simulacrum Window: An indoor panel that shows a convincing outdoor scene as if it were real glass.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Simulacrum Window

Tunnel in the Sky, Robert Heinlein · 1955

An indoor panel that shows a convincing outdoor scene as if it were real glass.

built in the 2000s, about 50 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A panel showing a convincing outdoor view is a comfort for windowless rooms.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and a wall-sized screen is easy to copy but comes out of costly screen factories, so the electronics makers that already own them collect, as with the wall-sized television.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Visual Report Screen: A screen that lets parents watch, from elsewhere, whatever their childcare machine is seeing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Visual Report Screen

Nanny, Philip K. Dick · 1955

A screen that lets parents watch, from elsewhere, whatever their childcare machine is seeing.

built in the 2010s, about 60 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Watching from afar what the childcare machine sees gives parents some peace of mind.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make a screen and camera, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Disposal-Safe: A secure box that holds papers and can destroy them when needed.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Disposal-Safe

Exploration Team, Murray Leinster · 1956

A secure box that holds papers and can destroy them when needed.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A safe that can destroy its papers serves the few who hold secrets.

Who is paid. Firms and offices with secrets buy it, and any safe maker can add a way to burn or shred the contents.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Hush Corner: A spot made private by electronically cancelling the sound around it so nobody can overhear.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Hush Corner

Double Star, Robert Heinlein · 1956

A spot made private by electronically cancelling the sound around it so nobody can overhear.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A spot where nobody can overhear is handy in offices and public rooms, but it is a convenience.

Who is paid. Offices and meeting places buy it, and cancelling sound with opposing sound is a known method many electronics makers could copy.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Fenton Silencer: A machine that wipes out sound across a wide area by generating opposing noise.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Fenton Silencer

Tales from the White Hart, Arthur C. Clarke · 1957

A machine that wipes out sound across a wide area by generating opposing noise.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A large prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Unlike a private corner for talk, this wipes out noise over a wide area, which would let factories, airports and roads sit quietly beside homes.

Who is paid. Because it covers a wide area and not a home, I assumed noisy firms and site owners buy it, and the method of opposing noise is known, so other makers could copy it and buyers would keep the gain.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Cone of Silence: A zone that stops voices carrying beyond it by generating opposing vibrations.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Cone of Silence

Cease Fire, Frank Herbert · 1958

A zone that stops voices carrying beyond it by generating opposing vibrations.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A patch of privacy for talk is handy in offices and public rooms, but it is a convenience.

Who is paid. Offices and meeting places buy it, and cancelling sound with opposing sound is a known method many electronics makers could copy.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Pressurized Penthouse: A sealed top-floor home on a building so tall it reaches the thin upper air.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pressurized Penthouse

Bread Overhead!, Fritz Leiber · 1958

A sealed top-floor home on a building so tall it reaches the thin upper air.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: 2100 or later

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A sealed home at the top of an immensely tall tower is a luxury for a few.

Who is paid. Rich households buy it, and I assumed more than a lone tower could be built, so developers with land and money collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Grass Carpet: Living turf grown indoors as a floor covering.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Grass Carpet

The Sirens of Titan, Kurt Vonnegut, Jr. · 1959

Living turf grown indoors as a floor covering.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Real grass underfoot indoors is a matter of taste.

Who is paid. Home owners buy it, and any grower of turf can supply it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Magnetically Floating Furniture: Chairs and beds held at the right height by magnetic forces instead of legs.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Magnetically Floating Furniture

The Sirens of Titan, Kurt Vonnegut, Jr. · 1959

Chairs and beds held at the right height by magnetic forces instead of legs.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Chairs and beds that float without legs are showpieces.

Who is paid. Home owners buy them, and strong magnets are available to any furniture maker.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Mark IV Door Keeping Robot: A robot that answers the front door and checks callers before letting them in.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Mark IV Door Keeping Robot

The Man Who Could Not Stop, A. Bertram Chandler · 1959

A robot that answers the front door and checks callers before letting them in.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Screening callers at the door is a handy convenience for a home, not a need.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and many firms could build a door-answering machine, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Saddle: A comfortable seat for riding that carries its user around without any animal beneath it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Saddle

The Big Front Yard, Clifford Simak · 1959

A comfortable seat for riding that carries its user around without any animal beneath it.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A seat that carries a person around by itself would be a personal vehicle worth an industry.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed that once built others could copy it, so vehicle makers with factories and dealers collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Toy Testing Dummy: A child-sized stand-in used to check whether suspicious toys are safe.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Toy Testing Dummy

War Game, Philip K. Dick · 1959

A child-sized stand-in used to check whether suspicious toys are safe.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A child-sized stand-in for testing suspect toys serves a few safety inspectors.

Who is paid. I assumed government inspectors buy it, so the firms that already supply testing gear to them collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Dermal Spray: A mist that tints the skin a chosen colour.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Dermal Spray

Dr. Futurity, Philip K. Dick · 1960

A mist that tints the skin a chosen colour.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Tinting the skin a chosen colour is a matter of fashion.

Who is paid. Shoppers buy it, and the spray is easy to copy, so the cosmetics brands that already hold the shop shelves collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Living Grass Carpet: Real turf grown indoors as floor covering in place of a rug.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Living Grass Carpet

Stranger in a Strange Land, Robert Heinlein · 1961

Real turf grown indoors as floor covering in place of a rug.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Real grass underfoot indoors is a matter of taste.

Who is paid. Home owners buy it, and any grower of turf can supply it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Reading Machine: A projector that throws pages of text overhead or onto a screen for comfortable reading.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Reading Machine

Stranger in a Strange Land, Robert Heinlein · 1961

A projector that throws pages of text overhead or onto a screen for comfortable reading.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Throwing a page overhead for comfortable reading is a convenience.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any projector maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Sky Ceiling: Large display panels overhead show a changing picture of the sky indoors.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sky Ceiling

Return from the Stars, Stanislaw Lem · 1961

Large display panels overhead show a changing picture of the sky indoors.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. An overhead picture of the sky is a comfort for indoor spaces.

Who is paid. Households and building owners buy it, and overhead screens of that size are easy to copy but come out of costly screen factories, so the electronics makers that already own them collect, as with the wall-sized television.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Waterbed (Hydraulic Bed): A mattress holding a sealed sac of water for support.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Waterbed (Hydraulic Bed)

Stranger in a Strange Land, Robert Heinlein · 1961

A mattress holding a sealed sac of water for support.

built in the 1960s, about 0 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A mattress filled with water is a matter of comfort and taste.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any bedding maker can produce it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Celestial Armamentarium: A small crystal model showing the stars and planets around the home world.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Celestial Armamentarium

The Dragon Masters, Jack Vance · 1962

A small crystal model showing the stars and planets around the home world.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A crystal model of the nearby stars is an ornament and a teaching aid.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and any skilled craftsman or model maker could produce such a thing.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Luminescent Vial: A glass tube of glowing algae used as a light source below ground.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Luminescent Vial

The Dragon Masters, Jack Vance · 1962

A glass tube of glowing algae used as a light source below ground.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A tube of glowing algae gives a dim light for use underground, where a lamp would do better.

Who is paid. People buy or fill them for themselves, and anyone can grow algae in a glass tube.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Psychotropic House: A dwelling that reads its occupants' moods and reshapes itself to reflect them.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Psychotropic House

The Thousand Dreams of Stellavista, J.G. Ballard · 1962

A dwelling that reads its occupants' moods and reshapes itself to reflect them.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A home that reshapes itself to its occupants' moods is a striking feature of a house, but it does not make housing cheaper or more plentiful.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and once shown it could be copied, so home builders who already hold land and buyers collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Senso-Cells: Household sensors that learn occupants' traits so the home can adapt to them.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Senso-Cells

The Thousand Dreams of Stellavista, J.G. Ballard · 1962

Household sensors that learn occupants' traits so the home can adapt to them.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Sensors that let a home learn and adapt to its occupants are the working part of the mood-reading house, a feature that does not make housing cheaper or more plentiful.

Who is paid. Households buy them with the house, and once shown they could be copied, so home builders who already hold land and buyers collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Static House: A formerly shape-shifting house now locked into a single fixed form.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Static House

The Thousand Dreams of Stellavista, J.G. Ballard · 1962

A formerly shape-shifting house now locked into a single fixed form.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Locked into a fixed form, this house has lost the reshaping that made its kind special and is an ordinary home.

Who is paid. Households buy it as they would any house, and since houses are easy to build the builders and developers who already hold land and customers collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Tand: A contemplative metal sculpture with ritual significance for initiates.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Tand

The Dragon Masters, Jack Vance · 1962

A contemplative metal sculpture with ritual significance for initiates.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A sculpture for contemplation matters only to the few initiates who value it.

Who is paid. Those initiates pay for it and any metalworker can make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Chairdog: A living, partly aware chair that molds itself to whoever sits in it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Chairdog

The Tactful Saboteur, Frank Herbert · 1964

A living, partly aware chair that molds itself to whoever sits in it.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2060s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A living chair that shapes itself to the sitter is a comfort and a curiosity.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and since living stock multiplies once any of it is sold, no originator can hold it, so the breeders and furnishing shops that already hold stock and showrooms collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Color Generator: A lamp that can emit any chosen colour of light.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Color Generator

The Killing Machine, Jack Vance · 1964

A lamp that can emit any chosen colour of light.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Choosing the colour of a lamp is a matter of mood and decoration.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and many lamp makers can build it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Manual Closet: An ordinary wardrobe where clothes are sorted and hung by hand.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Manual Closet

Clans of the Alphane Moon, Philip K. Dick · 1964

An ordinary wardrobe where clothes are sorted and hung by hand.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. It is an ordinary wardrobe, a plain piece of household furniture.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any furniture maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Nipple-Assist: A small wearable gadget with several functions.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Nipple-Assist

Lies, Inc., Philip K. Dick · 1964

A small wearable gadget with several functions.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A small wearable gadget with several functions is a convenience; the description says little more.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make a small gadget, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Undersea Restaurant: A dining venue built wholly beneath the ocean surface.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Undersea Restaurant

The Star King, Jack Vance · 1964

A dining venue built wholly beneath the ocean surface.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Dining beneath the sea is a treat for visitors.

Who is paid. Diners pay for the meal, and I assumed others could build the same on another coast, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Catchpocket: A pouch in a survival suit that holds recovered water.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Catchpocket

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A pouch in a survival suit that holds recovered water.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A pouch for saved water matters only to people crossing deserts.

Who is paid. Desert travellers buy it as part of their kit, and a pouch is easy for anyone to make.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Commuter Cooling Unit: A carry-along air conditioner for people travelling to work.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Commuter Cooling Unit

The Three Stigmata of Palmer Eldritch, Philip K. Dick · 1965

A carry-along air conditioner for people travelling to work.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A cooler you can carry through the heat would matter to everyone who works or travels outdoors in hot places.

Who is paid. Commuters buy it, and I assume the cooling parts are easy to copy, so many makers would compete the gain away.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Doorseal: A portable plastic seal that keeps moisture inside tents.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Doorseal

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A portable plastic seal that keeps moisture inside tents.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Keeping moisture inside a tent matters only to people living in deserts.

Who is paid. Desert travellers buy it, and a plastic seal is easy for anyone to make.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Filt-Plug: Nose plugs that trap moisture from breath.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Filt-Plug

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

Nose plugs that trap moisture from breath.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Catching the moisture in your breath matters only to people in deserts.

Who is paid. Desert travellers buy them, and nose plugs are simple for anyone to make.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Golden Lights: Decorative lights floating in a gravity-cancelling field.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Golden Lights

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

Decorative lights floating in a gravity-cancelling field.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Lights that float in the air are decoration.

Who is paid. Home owners buy them, and once floating gadgets can be made at all, many makers could build a lamp.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Handicloset: A wardrobe that sorts and arranges its own contents.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Handicloset

The Zap Gun, Philip K. Dick · 1965

A wardrobe that sorts and arranges its own contents.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A wardrobe that tidies itself saves a little effort.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and other furniture and appliance makers could copy it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Imperial Handicraft Globe: A finely made planetary globe given to officials.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Imperial Handicraft Globe

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A finely made planetary globe given to officials.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A finely made globe is an ornament and a mark of rank.

Who is paid. The story has them given to officials, but I assumed such globes are also sold as ornaments, and any skilled craftsman could make them.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Jubba Cloak: A versatile desert garment worn widely on a dry planet.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Jubba Cloak

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A versatile desert garment worn widely on a dry planet.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A useful cloak for desert life is everyday clothing for people in dry places.

Who is paid. Desert dwellers buy it, and any tailor can make a cloak.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Sandsnork: A snorkel-like tube that feeds air into a tent buried by blowing sand.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sandsnork

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A snorkel-like tube that feeds air into a tent buried by blowing sand.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. An air tube for a buried tent is survival gear for a few desert travellers.

Who is paid. Travellers buy it and anyone can make a tube, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Sietch: A fortified cave community with its own water reserves in a vast desert.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sietch

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A fortified cave community with its own water reserves in a vast desert.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A fortified cave settlement with stored water serves a few desert communities.

Who is paid. The people who live there pay by building it themselves, and anyone with a cave and labour can do the same, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Stillsuit: A full-body suit that cools the wearer and recycles nearly all body water.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Stillsuit

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A full-body suit that cools the wearer and recycles nearly all body water.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A suit that cools and saves body water matters to the few who live or work in deep desert.

Who is paid. Desert dwellers and travellers buy it, and I assumed skilled makers could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Stilltent: A sealed shelter that recovers water from its occupants' breath.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Stilltent

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A sealed shelter that recovers water from its occupants' breath.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A shelter that recovers water from breath matters to the few who live or travel in deep desert.

Who is paid. Desert dwellers and travellers buy it, and I assumed skilled makers could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Suspensor Chair: A seat that hovers above the floor.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Suspensor Chair

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A seat that hovers above the floor.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A hovering seat is a luxury piece of furniture, whatever the hovering device might be worth elsewhere.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed the hovering part can be copied, so any furniture maker could sell it and none keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Suspensor Lamp: A light that hovers wherever it is placed.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Suspensor Lamp

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A light that hovers wherever it is placed.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A lamp that hovers where it is put is a handy light, whatever the hovering device might be worth elsewhere.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed the hovering part can be copied, so any lamp maker could sell it and none keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Watertube: A tube routing recovered water inside a desert survival suit.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Watertube

Dune, Frank Herbert · 1965

A tube routing recovered water inside a desert survival suit.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A tube carrying recovered water is a part of a desert suit that matters to the few who need such suits.

Who is paid. Desert dwellers and travellers buy it with the suit, and anyone can make a tube, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Artificial Gill Outfit: A diving suit that extracts breathable oxygen from the surrounding water.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Artificial Gill Outfit

We Can Remember It For You Wholesale, Philip K. Dick · 1966

A diving suit that extracts breathable oxygen from the surrounding water.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2060s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Breathing underwater without tanks would delight divers, but divers are a niche.

Who is paid. Divers buy it for themselves, and I assume that once the material that draws air from water is known, other gear makers could make it too.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Diptray: A floating tray that carries drinks at parties.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Diptray

This Immortal, Roger Zelazny · 1966

A floating tray that carries drinks at parties.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A tray that floats round a party is a novelty for hosts.

Who is paid. Hosts buy it, and once floating gadgets can be made at all, many makers could build a tray.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Drinking Bulb: A small handheld vessel for drinks.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Drinking Bulb

The Warriors, Larry Niven · 1966

A small handheld vessel for drinks.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. It is a small container for drinks.

Who is paid. People buy it for themselves, and anyone can make a drinking vessel.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Hush Hood: A hood that blocks sound so conversations cannot be overheard.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Hush Hood

The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, Robert Heinlein · 1966

A hood that blocks sound so conversations cannot be overheard.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A hood that keeps talk private is handy for sensitive calls, but it is a convenience.

Who is paid. Offices and people with private business buy it, and a sound-blocking hood is simple for many makers to copy.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Sunshades: Glasses that tint automatically with the brightness around them.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sunshades

This Immortal, Roger Zelazny · 1966

Glasses that tint automatically with the brightness around them.

built in the 2000s, about 40 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Glasses that tint with the light are a better pair of sunglasses.

Who is paid. Households buy them and many eyewear makers can copy them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Floating Booths: Hovering bar seating that drifts together for conversation.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Floating Booths

Handicap, Larry Niven · 1967

Hovering bar seating that drifts together for conversation.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Seats that drift about a bar are a novelty for drinkers.

Who is paid. Bars buy them to draw custom, and once floating furniture can be made at all, many makers could build it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Auto-Seal: Outlet covers that close themselves to keep children safe.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Auto-Seal

Stand on Zanzibar, John Brunner · 1968

Outlet covers that close themselves to keep children safe.

built in the 1960s, about 0 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Self-closing socket covers are a small safety help for parents.

Who is paid. Parents buy them, and they are simple plastic parts any maker can produce.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Electro-Binox: Binoculars that focus themselves electronically.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Electro-Binox

A Specter is Haunting Texas, Fritz Leiber · 1968

Binoculars that focus themselves electronically.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Field glasses that focus themselves are a small improvement for watchers of birds and games.

Who is paid. Hobbyists buy them, and many makers of lenses and cameras could build them.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Sensory-Syrynx: An elaborate performance instrument an artist plays to create multisensory spectacles.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sensory-Syrynx

Nova, Samuel R. Delany · 1968

An elaborate performance instrument an artist plays to create multisensory spectacles.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. An instrument for multisensory shows serves a few performers.

Who is paid. Performers buy it, and I assumed instrument makers could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Sun Goggles: Eyewear whose lenses dim selectively where glare is strongest.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sun Goggles

Grendel, Larry Niven · 1968

Eyewear whose lenses dim selectively where glare is strongest.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Lenses that dim where glare is strongest are a better pair of sunglasses.

Who is paid. Households buy them and many eyewear makers can copy them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Automated Apartment Maintenance: Machines that look after the upkeep of a rented flat on their own.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Automated Apartment Maintenance

Ubik, Philip K. Dick · 1969

Machines that look after the upkeep of a rented flat on their own.

built in the 2010s, about 50 years after it was imagined

A large prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Machines that keep a flat in repair with no workers would cut a main cost of running housing.

Who is paid. The flat is let to a tenant, so the landlord pays, and the firms that already supply building equipment and service contracts would collect once the machines were common.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Ersatz Window: A screen in a windowless room showing a live projected outdoor view.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Ersatz Window

Galactic Pot-Healer, Philip K. Dick · 1969

A screen in a windowless room showing a live projected outdoor view.

built in the 2010s, about 50 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A false view of the outdoors makes a windowless room nicer.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and a wall-sized screen is easy to copy but comes out of costly screen factories, so the electronics makers that already own them collect, as with the wall-sized television.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Float-home: A bioengineered living creature used as a floating house.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Float-home

Whipping Star, Frank Herbert · 1969

A bioengineered living creature used as a floating house.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: 2100 or later

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A home that is bred and not built would cut the cost of housing, assuming it is cheap to raise.

Who is paid. People buy it as a home, and since living stock multiplies once any of it is sold, no originator can hold it, so the growers, builders and landowners that already hold stock, sites and the trade of housing collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Geriatric Rooming-House: Housing designed specifically for very old residents.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Geriatric Rooming-House

Galactic Pot-Healer, Philip K. Dick · 1969

Housing designed specifically for very old residents.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Housing built for the very old is an industry of its own wherever many people live long.

Who is paid. Old people and their families pay, and such homes are easy to copy, so those who own suitable buildings and land collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Multi-function Living Room: A compact room with many uses folded into one space.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Multi-function Living Room

Death by Ecstasy, Larry Niven · 1969

A compact room with many uses folded into one space.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Folding many uses into a compact room is a convenience for people short of space.

Who is paid. Households pay for it and any builder or furniture maker can do it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Self-Powered Broom: A cleaning broom that sweeps by itself in cramped flats.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Self-Powered Broom

Ubik, Philip K. Dick · 1969

A cleaning broom that sweeps by itself in cramped flats.

built in the 2000s, about 40 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A broom that sweeps by itself saves a chore in a small flat.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make a small cleaning machine, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Spray-Foam Blouse: A garment formed by spraying fabric foam directly onto the body.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Spray-Foam Blouse

Galactic Pot-Healer, Philip K. Dick · 1969

A garment formed by spraying fabric foam directly onto the body.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Clothing sprayed straight onto the body is a novelty way to dress.

Who is paid. I assumed it is sold as a can that is used up with each wearing and bought again, so although the spray is easy to copy, the brands that already hold the shop shelves collect, as with the skin sprays.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Toll Door: An apartment door that demands a coin payment before it will open.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Toll Door

Ubik, Philip K. Dick · 1969

An apartment door that demands a coin payment before it will open.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A door that charges a coin to open is a way for a landlord to collect small fees.

Who is paid. I assumed landlords buy it and that any lock maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Window Wavelength: Wall screens that show scenery as though they were real windows.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Window Wavelength

Super-Toys Last All Summer Long, Brian Aldiss · 1969

Wall screens that show scenery as though they were real windows.

built in the 2010s, about 50 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Wall screens that pass for real windows are a comfort for windowless rooms.

Who is paid. Households buy them, and wall-sized screens are easy to copy but come out of costly screen factories, so the electronics makers that already own them collect, as with the wall-sized television.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Inert-Wear: Ordinary clothing of non-living fibre that does not change or respond.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Inert-Wear

Say Goodby to the Wind, J.G. Ballard · 1970

Ordinary clothing of non-living fibre that does not change or respond.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. This is plain clothing that does not change, and in the story it is the dull choice beside living fabrics, but plain clothing still dresses most people.

Who is paid. Everyone buys clothes for themselves, and ordinary cloth can be made by a great many firms, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Sound Deadener: A device that quiets loud noise made by different creatures nearby.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sound Deadener

Ringworld, Larry Niven · 1970

A device that quiets loud noise made by different creatures nearby.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Truly quieting loud neighbours would be wanted in most homes, which is worth an industry; I assumed it quiets a whole home and not just a patch.

Who is paid. The noise described comes from neighbours, so households buy it, and once the method of opposing noise is known many firms could make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Transparent Overalls: See-through prison clothing that prevents hiding anything.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Transparent Overalls

The Stainless Steel Rat's Revenge, Harry Harrison · 1970

See-through prison clothing that prevents hiding anything.

built in 1973, 3 years after it was imagined

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. See-through prison clothing is a minor security aid; unlike the fashion version it is bought for prisons.

Who is paid. The government pays as prison keeper, and the cloth is easy to copy, so firms that already supply prisons collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Filter-Mask: A face mask for breathing in heavily polluted air.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Filter-Mask

The Sheep Look Up, John Brunner · 1972

A face mask for breathing in heavily polluted air.

built since, date unclear

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Where the air is badly polluted, everyone who goes outside needs a mask, which is an industry of its own.

Who is paid. People buy masks for themselves, and they are simple enough that a great many makers compete.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Implant-Watch: A timepiece under the skin that shows the hour with coloured lights.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Implant-Watch

Cloak of Anarchy, Larry Niven · 1972

A timepiece under the skin that shows the hour with coloured lights.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Reading the hour from lights under your skin is a novelty way to wear a watch.

Who is paid. Wearers pay for it, and the device is simple enough that many makers and clinics could offer it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Polawindow: A window-sized filter that adjusts the brightness and colour of incoming light.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Polawindow

The Godmakers, Frank Herbert · 1972

A window-sized filter that adjusts the brightness and colour of incoming light.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A window filter that sets brightness and colour replaces curtains, which is a convenience.

Who is paid. Households and builders buy it, and it is easy to copy, so the glass makers with factories and trade ties collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Rotating House: A family home on a central pivot so it can turn to face any direction.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Rotating House

The Godmakers, Frank Herbert · 1972

A family home on a central pivot so it can turn to face any direction.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A house that turns to face any direction is a novelty for a few buyers.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and a pivot is easy to copy, so the builders and developers who already hold land and customers collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Selectacol: A device that suggests colour schemes to furnish a room automatically.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Selectacol

The Godmakers, Frank Herbert · 1972

A device that suggests colour schemes to furnish a room automatically.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Suggesting colour schemes for a room saves a little thought when decorating.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make such a device, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Frictionless Cups: Drinking vessels coated so liquid never clings to them.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Frictionless Cups

Protector, Larry Niven · 1973

Drinking vessels coated so liquid never clings to them.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A cup that never holds a drop is a little easier to clean.

Who is paid. People buy them for the kitchen, and I assume the coating can be copied by other makers once it is on sale.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Floating Building: An apartment block that hovers slightly above the ground.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Floating Building

Flow My Tears, The Policeman Said, Philip K. Dick · 1974

An apartment block that hovers slightly above the ground.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: 2100 or later

A small prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A block of flats that hovers a little above the ground gives its tenants nothing much that a grounded block does not.

Who is paid. A developer pays for it as a showpiece, and the large builders who already put up such blocks would do the work and collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Frictionless Toilet: A toilet bowl so slick it needs no water to stay clean.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Frictionless Toilet

The Mote in God's Eye, Larry Niven (w/J. Pournelle) · 1974

A toilet bowl so slick it needs no water to stay clean.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Unlike a slick cup, a toilet that needs no water would save a great deal of water and piping, and would bring clean toilets to dry places.

Who is paid. Home owners buy it, and I assume the coating can be copied, so the firms that already make and fit bathroom fixtures collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Home Ad Blocker: A home system that keeps projected three-dimensional adverts from intruding.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Home Ad Blocker

The Computer Connection, Alfred Bester · 1974

A home system that keeps projected three-dimensional adverts from intruding.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Keeping floating adverts out of the home removes an annoyance in a world that has them.

Who is paid. People buy it for peace at home, and once the trick of blocking the images is known any electronics maker could copy it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Coley Group: A style of music performed by dancing inside a field of low-power microwaves.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Coley Group

The Shockwave Rider, John Brunner · 1975

A style of music performed by dancing inside a field of low-power microwaves.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. It is a style of music and dance, enjoyed by its fans.

Who is paid. Fans pay to watch or to play, and nobody can own a style of music, so any performer may take it up.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Inflatable Church: A place of worship whose altar is a blow-up projection screen.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Inflatable Church

The Shockwave Rider, John Brunner · 1975

A place of worship whose altar is a blow-up projection screen.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A blow-up screen for an altar is a cheap fitting for a place of worship.

Who is paid. Churches pay for it as organisations, and inflatable screens are easy for anyone to make.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of 3D 'Chess' Game Board: A tabletop display that projects game pieces as moving three-dimensional figures.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

3D 'Chess' Game Board

Star Wars, George Lucas · 1976

A tabletop display that projects game pieces as moving three-dimensional figures.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A game table with moving solid-looking pieces is a pleasant toy, not a need.

Who is paid. Families buy it as a game, and once the display exists many toy and screen makers could build the same thing.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Moon Moth: A modest, shy-looking mask signalling low social standing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Moon Moth

The Moon Moth, Jack Vance · 1976

A modest, shy-looking mask signalling low social standing.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A mask that signals low standing is a piece of costume with a niche use.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any craftsman can make a mask, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Stimic: A wind instrument of three pipes played by squeezing an air bag.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Stimic

The Moon Moth, Jack Vance · 1976

A wind instrument of three pipes played by squeezing an air bag.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A pipe instrument played by squeezing a bag serves a few musicians.

Who is paid. Musicians buy it and any instrument maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Antiholo Generator: A device that cancels unwanted holographic adverts.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Antiholo Generator

The Ophiuchi Hotline, John Varley · 1977

A device that cancels unwanted holographic adverts.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Blocking floating adverts removes an annoyance in a world that has them.

Who is paid. People buy it for peace at home, and once the trick of cancelling the images is known any electronics maker could copy it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Bedog: A living, aware creature bred to serve as a bed.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Bedog

The Dosadi Experiment, Frank Herbert · 1977

A living, aware creature bred to serve as a bed.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: 2100 or later

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A living bed is a comfort and a curiosity, and many would dislike sleeping on an aware creature.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and since living stock multiplies once any of it is sold, no originator can hold it, so the breeders and furnishing shops that already hold stock and showrooms collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Darkdawn City: An urban settlement whose towers are shaped so passing wind sounds music through them.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Darkdawn City

Dying of the Light, George RR Martin · 1977

An urban settlement whose towers are shaped so passing wind sounds music through them.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Towers that sing in the wind are civic art, pleasant but not needed.

Who is paid. A city government pays for it as public art, and the ordinary architects and builders who put up towers collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Flexible Sprung Boots: Footwear that bends softly on normal strides but rebounds like a spring under heavy impact.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Flexible Sprung Boots

Inherit the Stars, James P. Hogan · 1977

Footwear that bends softly on normal strides but rebounds like a spring under heavy impact.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Boots that soften a hard landing are a modest gain for walkers and workers.

Who is paid. Wearers buy them, and the springy sole can be copied, so any of the many footwear makers can sell them and no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Graluz: A hidden, enclosed breeding pool for an amphibious alien species.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Graluz

The Dosadi Experiment, Frank Herbert · 1977

A hidden, enclosed breeding pool for an amphibious alien species.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A private pool for raising young serves the households of a single species.

Who is paid. Families of that species pay to have it built into the home, and any builder can make an enclosed pool.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Odalarm: An alarm clock that wakes sleepers with a chosen smell.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Odalarm

The Dosadi Experiment, Frank Herbert · 1977

An alarm clock that wakes sleepers with a chosen smell.

built in the 1970s, about 0 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Waking to a chosen smell is a novelty version of an alarm clock.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any gadget maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Swimming Tubes: Water-filled passages linking buildings so aquatic residents can travel between them.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Swimming Tubes

The Dosadi Experiment, Frank Herbert · 1977

Water-filled passages linking buildings so aquatic residents can travel between them.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Water passages between buildings serve only residents who swim, which is a niche.

Who is paid. I assumed a city pays for them as public works, so the building firms that already hold such contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Joo Janta 200 Super-Chromatic Peril Sensitive Sunglasses: Eyewear that turns opaque whenever the wearer is about to see something alarming.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Joo Janta 200 Super-Chromatic Peril Sensitive Sunglasses

The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, Douglas Adams · 1979

Eyewear that turns opaque whenever the wearer is about to see something alarming.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Glasses that go dark at the sight of danger are a joke comfort, since they hide the danger and do nothing about it.

Who is paid. Wearers buy them, and other makers of eyewear could copy them once they were on sale.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Nutri-Matic: A beverage machine that reads the drinker to guess what they would enjoy.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Nutri-Matic

The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, Douglas Adams · 1979

A beverage machine that reads the drinker to guess what they would enjoy.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Guessing which drink someone would enjoy is a pleasant extra on a drinks machine.

Who is paid. I assumed a vending machine, so firms buy it for their premises, and the vending operators that already place machines collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Self-Satisfied Door: An automatic door with a smug, chatty personality.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Self-Satisfied Door

The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, Douglas Adams · 1979

An automatic door with a smug, chatty personality.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A chatty personality adds nothing useful to an automatic door.

Who is paid. Building owners buy doors, and the feature is easy to copy, so firms that already fit doors collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Towel: An ordinary cloth celebrated as a traveller's most versatile possession.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Towel

The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, Douglas Adams · 1979

An ordinary cloth celebrated as a traveller's most versatile possession.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. It is an ordinary towel, however useful the story finds it.

Who is paid. Households buy it and anyone can make a towel, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Watercouch: A sofa using a water bladder for cushioning.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Watercouch

Beyond the Blue Event Horizon, Frederik Pohl · 1980

A sofa using a water bladder for cushioning.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A sofa cushioned with water is a matter of comfort and taste.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any furniture maker can produce it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Dream Park: A holiday resort where guests act as characters inside elaborate staged adventures.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Dream Park

Dream Park, Larry Niven (w/S. Barnes · 1981

A holiday resort where guests act as characters inside elaborate staged adventures.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A resort where guests live inside a staged adventure would be a holiday industry of its own.

Who is paid. Holidaymakers pay, and the staging can be copied, so the firms that already own resort land, well-loved stories and trusted names collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Gravity Whip: An amusement ride designed to give passengers moments of weightlessness.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Gravity Whip

Dream Park, Larry Niven (w/S. Barnes · 1981

An amusement ride designed to give passengers moments of weightlessness.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A moment of weightlessness on a ride is a thrill for visitors.

Who is paid. Amusement parks buy the ride, and any ride builder could copy the design, so the parks and their visitors keep the gain.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Mattress Sleep Sensor: A bed sensor that tracks sleep and nudges the sleeper to get up.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Mattress Sleep Sensor

Dream Park, Larry Niven (w/S. Barnes · 1981

A bed sensor that tracks sleep and nudges the sleeper to get up.

built in the 2000s, about 20 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Tracking sleep and nudging the sleeper awake is a mild convenience.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make a bed sensor, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Sleeve Watch: A timepiece display printed temporarily onto a chosen piece of clothing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sleeve Watch

Dream Park, Larry Niven (w/S. Barnes · 1981

A timepiece display printed temporarily onto a chosen piece of clothing.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A watch face printed for a while on a sleeve is a novelty way to tell the time.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Todos Santos Independency: An entire self-governing town housed within one enormous building.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Todos Santos Independency

Oath of Fealty, Jerry Pournelle (w/L. Niven · 1981

An entire self-governing town housed within one enormous building.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2040s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A whole town inside a building is a new way of housing and serving a community, and its self-rule changes who governs, not what is sold.

Who is paid. Residents buy or lease the homes and shops inside, as they would in any large development, and since others could put up such a structure the developers and landowners who already hold the sites collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of UHF Shower: A bathing booth that cleans the body with radio waves in place of water.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

UHF Shower

Eye of Cat, Roger Zelazny · 1982

A bathing booth that cleans the body with radio waves in place of water.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A booth that cleans the body with no water at all would cut what homes spend on water and plumbing, which is more than a comfort.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed it can be copied, so the firms that already make and fit bathroom fixtures collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Luggage: A travel chest made of thinking wood that follows its owner anywhere.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Luggage

The Color of Magic, Terry Pratchett · 1983

A travel chest made of thinking wood that follows its owner anywhere.

not yet built · AI models judge it not physically possible

A small prizeHouseholds pay; the maker keeps the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A trunk that follows you everywhere is a great convenience for travellers, but it is still luggage.

Who is paid. Travellers buy it, and I assume the thinking wood is rare and cannot be made by others, so whoever holds that wood keeps what is left.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Time Capsule: A sealed, weatherproof metal block for leaving messages to be read far in the future.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Time Capsule

Millenium, John Varley · 1983

A sealed, weatherproof metal block for leaving messages to be read far in the future.

built since, date unclear

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A sealed block for messages to the far future is a keepsake.

Who is paid. Households and clubs buy it and any metalworker can make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Coffin Rack Capsule Hotel: Lodgings made of tiny sleeping pods stacked in rows.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Coffin Rack Capsule Hotel

The Science Fiction Yearbook (ed. Jerry Pournelle), William Gibson · 1984

Lodgings made of tiny sleeping pods stacked in rows.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A cheap pod to sleep in suits travellers who want only a bed.

Who is paid. Travellers pay by the night, and the pods are easy to copy, so the owners of well-placed city buildings collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Flash Suit: A garment worn in mock combat drills that registers when the wearer is tagged.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Flash Suit

Ender's Game, Orson Scott Card · 1985

A garment worn in mock combat drills that registers when the wearer is tagged.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A suit that records hits makes practice battles fairer, which serves trainers and players only.

Who is paid. In the story an army school uses it for drills, so the state pays, and the firms that already hold contracts for training gear collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Microwave Beamer: A handheld tool that heats food quickly with radio-frequency energy.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Microwave Beamer

Limits, Larry Niven · 1985

A handheld tool that heats food quickly with radio-frequency energy.

already existed before the story (1947)

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Heating food in moments with radio waves is worth an industry of its own, here in a handheld form.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and unlike a full oven from the established appliance makers this is a handheld gadget that many firms could make, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Reactive Walls: Nightclub wall surfaces that respond visually to the music playing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Reactive Walls

Freezone, John Shirley · 1985

Nightclub wall surfaces that respond visually to the music playing.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Walls that move with the music are decoration for a venue.

Who is paid. Club owners buy them and many lighting firms can supply them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Resting Pits: Resting places named in the story whose function is not described.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Resting Pits

Limits, Larry Niven · 1985

Resting places named in the story whose function is not described.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. The story names these resting places without saying what they do, so I assumed plain places to rest.

Who is paid. I assumed households or travellers pay and that anyone could build them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Sleep Tube: A compact cylindrical pod used as a place to sleep and live.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Sleep Tube

Solstice, James Patrick Kelly · 1985

A compact cylindrical pod used as a place to sleep and live.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A pod to sleep and live in is cheap lodging for those who will accept little space.

Who is paid. Lodgers pay by the stay, and since pods are easy to copy those who already own the buildings and sites collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Subdermal Microchannels: Tiny channels under the skin that create glowing decorative patterns.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Subdermal Microchannels

Stone Lives, Paul Di Filippo · 1985

Tiny channels under the skin that create glowing decorative patterns.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Glowing patterns under the skin are body decoration for those who want it.

Who is paid. Households pay for it, and I assumed many studios or clinics could offer it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Tube Rack: Lodgings formed from stacked cylindrical sleeping pods.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Tube Rack

Solstice, James Patrick Kelly · 1985

Lodgings formed from stacked cylindrical sleeping pods.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Stacked sleeping pods are cheap lodging for those who will accept little space.

Who is paid. Lodgers pay by the stay, and since pods are easy to copy those who already own the buildings and sites collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Cleaning Machine Warren: A storage nook where cleaning robots rest when idle.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Cleaning Machine Warren

Mona Lisa Overdrive, William Gibson · 1988

A storage nook where cleaning robots rest when idle.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A cupboard where cleaning robots wait is a minor building detail.

Who is paid. Home owners pay for it as part of the house, and any builder can make a storage nook.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Digital Running Shoes

Islands in the Net, Bruce Sterling · 1988

Sneakers with a built-in display of the runner's performance.

built in 2006, 18 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Seeing your pace on your shoe is a nicety for keen runners.

Who is paid. Runners buy them, and the display is easy to add, so any of the many shoe makers can sell them and no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Head-Molding Skincaps: A snug cap worn on the scalp that leaves the head smooth and hairless without a razor.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Head-Molding Skincaps

Prelude to Foundation, Isaac Asimov · 1988

A snug cap worn on the scalp that leaves the head smooth and hairless without a razor.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A cap that leaves the scalp smooth replaces the razor for those who want a bare head.

Who is paid. People buy it for themselves, and I assume other makers could copy the cap once it was on sale.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Heartshirt: A garment that picks up its wearer's heartbeat and shows it as changing colours.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Heartshirt

Wetware, Rudy Rucker · 1988

A garment that picks up its wearer's heartbeat and shows it as changing colours.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A shirt that shows your heartbeat in colour is a fashion novelty.

Who is paid. Wearers buy it, and the sensor and the colour-changing cloth could be put together by many clothing makers.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of High Tech Trash Can: A smarter bin that sorts, compacts or processes household rubbish.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

High Tech Trash Can

Islands in the Net, Bruce Sterling · 1988

A smarter bin that sorts, compacts or processes household rubbish.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A bin that sorts and squashes rubbish saves a household a small chore.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and many appliance makers could build it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Suit Designer: A clothing design role or tool named in the story without further detail.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Suit Designer

Mona Lisa Overdrive, William Gibson · 1988

A clothing design role or tool named in the story without further detail.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. The story gives no detail, so I assumed a tool or service for designing clothes, which is a niche.

Who is paid. I assumed households pay for the clothes and that many designers could offer the same, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Free-fall Couch: A piece of furniture that gives the feeling of floating weightless.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Free-fall Couch

Hyperion, Dan Simmons · 1989

A piece of furniture that gives the feeling of floating weightless.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. The feeling of floating is a pleasant novelty for rest.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and I assume other furniture makers could copy it once it had been seen.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Bee Zapper: A laser gadget that picks off bees and other insects.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Bee Zapper

Earth, David Brin · 1990

A laser gadget that picks off bees and other insects.

already existed before the story (the 1960s)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Picking off insects around the house is a convenience, judged here as a household gadget.

Who is paid. People buy it for the garden, and the aiming and the beam are parts many electronics makers could put together.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Bioform House: A dwelling grown from an engineered plant.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Bioform House

Sparrowhawk, Thomas A. Easton · 1990

A dwelling grown from an engineered plant.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2070s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A house that grows itself would cut the cost of building homes, assuming it grows cheaply.

Who is paid. People buy it as a home, and since living stock multiplies once any of it is sold, no originator can hold it, so the growers, builders and landowners that already hold stock, sites and the trade of housing collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Cannibal Grass: A bioengineered lawn plant that guards a house against intruders.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Cannibal Grass

Sparrowhawk, Thomas A. Easton · 1990

A bioengineered lawn plant that guards a house against intruders.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2060s

No prizeNothing is soldas a model judges it

Why

No prize. The story's world bans it, so it is a hazard nobody may lawfully buy or plant.

Who is paid. Nothing is lawfully sold, so nobody pays and no seller keeps anything.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Hanky Bush: A shrub bred so its leaves serve as handy tissues.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Hanky Bush

Sparrowhawk, Thomas A. Easton · 1990

A shrub bred so its leaves serve as handy tissues.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2060s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Leaves that serve as tissues replace a cheap paper product.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home or garden, and since living stock multiplies once any of it is sold, no originator can hold it, so the nurseries and garden shops that already hold stock and shelves collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Live Carpet: A living floor covering that consumes the dirt and debris that falls onto it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Live Carpet

Queen of Angels, Greg Bear · 1990

A living floor covering that consumes the dirt and debris that falls onto it.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2070s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A carpet that eats its own dirt saves some cleaning of floors.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and since living stock multiplies once any of it is sold, no originator can hold it, so the breeders and furnishing shops that already hold stock and showrooms collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Airbag Jacket: A garment that inflates cushions to shield the wearer when they hit something.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Airbag Jacket

Snow Crash, Neal Stephenson · 1992

A garment that inflates cushions to shield the wearer when they hit something.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. It protects riders and others at risk of a fall, which is a niche.

Who is paid. Riders buy it for themselves, and inflating cushions are well understood, so many makers can sell it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Smart Pizza Box: Food packaging with an embedded chip that tracks and reports on its contents.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Smart Pizza Box

Snow Crash, Neal Stephenson · 1992

Food packaging with an embedded chip that tracks and reports on its contents.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Packaging that reports on its contents helps a food seller track deliveries a little better.

Who is paid. Food firms buy the boxes and many packaging firms can add a chip, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of U-Stor-It: A rented self-storage locker that people live in as cheap housing.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

U-Stor-It

Snow Crash, Neal Stephenson · 1992

A rented self-storage locker that people live in as cheap housing.

already existed before the story (the 1960s)

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Living in a storage locker is cheap housing of last resort for a few.

Who is paid. Tenants pay for the space, and the lockers are easy to build, so those who already own the storage sites collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Air-Conditioned Coat: Outerwear with built-in cooling that keeps the wearer comfortable in hot weather.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Air-Conditioned Coat

Deep Eddy, Bruce Sterling · 1993

Outerwear with built-in cooling that keeps the wearer comfortable in hot weather.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A large prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Clothing that truly keeps a person cool in the heat would matter to everyone who works or travels outdoors in hot places.

Who is paid. Wearers buy it, and I assume the cooling parts are easy to copy, so many clothing makers would compete the gain away.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Stealth House: An airtight energy-efficient house whose poor ventilation lets indoor pollutants build up.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Stealth House

Virtual Light, William Gibson · 1993

An airtight energy-efficient house whose poor ventilation lets indoor pollutants build up.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. An airtight house saves energy, but the stale air it traps takes back much of the gain.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and sealing a house is easy to copy, so the builders and developers who already hold land and customers collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Auto-Treadmills (Needle-Gym): A floor that shifts beneath you so you can walk or run in any direction inside a small room.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Auto-Treadmills (Needle-Gym)

Natulife, David Brin · 1994

A floor that shifts beneath you so you can walk or run in any direction inside a small room.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Walking anywhere inside a small room is mainly useful for exercise and games.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and a moving floor could be built by many makers of exercise machines.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Pedomotive: Stilt-like leg extensions for longer strides, sold as extreme-sports gear.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pedomotive

The Diamond Age, Neal Stephenson · 1995

Stilt-like leg extensions for longer strides, sold as extreme-sports gear.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Leg extensions for longer strides are sports gear for a few enthusiasts.

Who is paid. Households buy them and any sports gear maker can build them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Hotdesk: A shared workstation whose surface is itself an input device.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Hotdesk

Idoru, William Gibson · 1996

A shared workstation whose surface is itself an input device.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A shared desk you can type and draw on is a modest office convenience.

Who is paid. Offices buy it, and a touch surface built into a desk is something many makers can supply.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Kitchen Korner: A networked smart fridge unit that everyone ends up owning.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Kitchen Korner

Idoru, William Gibson · 1996

A networked smart fridge unit that everyone ends up owning.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Connecting the fridge to a network adds a convenience to something every home already has.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and the smart parts are easy to copy, so the appliance makers who already sell fridges to every home collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Micro-Bachelor: A tiny dwelling built into leftover space in a derelict building.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Micro-Bachelor

Idoru, William Gibson · 1996

A tiny dwelling built into leftover space in a derelict building.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A tiny home squeezed into leftover space is a niche form of cheap housing.

Who is paid. Households pay for the space, and whoever already owns the building collects because anyone can fit out a nook.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Bambakias Hotel: A self-directing building project that works to get itself constructed.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Bambakias Hotel

Distraction, Bruce Sterling · 1998

A self-directing building project that works to get itself constructed.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A large prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. A building project that plans and drives its own construction would change the cost of building.

Who is paid. Developers pay for it, and I assume the directing system is software others could write once it had been shown to work, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Concrete Boxes: Bare minimal housing units for people absorbed in virtual worlds.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Concrete Boxes

Earth Made of Glass, John Barnes · 1998

Bare minimal housing units for people absorbed in virtual worlds.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A bare room adds little of its own, since the value to its occupant lies in the virtual world and not in the box.

Who is paid. Occupants pay for the space, and a plain box is easy to build, so whoever owns the land it stands on collects.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Smart Tag: A durable street-art sticker that resists walls built to clean themselves.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Smart Tag

All Tomorrow's Parties, William Gibson · 1999

A durable street-art sticker that resists walls built to clean themselves.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A sticker that survives walls built to clean themselves serves a few street artists.

Who is paid. Street artists buy it, and I assumed the glue can be copied, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Snake Contact Lens: Cosmetic contact lenses that give the eyes reptile-style pupils.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Snake Contact Lens

All Tomorrow's Parties, William Gibson · 1999

Cosmetic contact lenses that give the eyes reptile-style pupils.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Lenses that give reptile pupils are a cosmetic novelty.

Who is paid. Households buy them and many lens makers can copy them, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Napcap Capsule: Small sleeping pods in busy transit hubs where travellers can rest.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Napcap Capsule

Saturn's Race, Larry Niven (w/S. Barnes) · 2000

Small sleeping pods in busy transit hubs where travellers can rest.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A pod to nap in while travelling is a convenience for tired travellers.

Who is paid. Travellers pay by the stay, and since pods are easy to copy those who already hold space in busy transit hubs collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Pocket Dome: A compact shelter that pops up quickly wherever it is needed.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Pocket Dome

Chindi, Jack McDevitt · 2002

A compact shelter that pops up quickly wherever it is needed.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A shelter that pops up quickly is useful camping and expedition gear.

Who is paid. Households and travellers buy it and many firms can make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Terrafoam Dorm Building: A cheap foam-built housing block that packs residents into tiny living cells.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Terrafoam Dorm Building

Manna, Marshall Brain · 2002

A cheap foam-built housing block that packs residents into tiny living cells.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A large prizeA government pays; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A large prize. Very cheap mass housing would change what it costs to shelter people, though the cells here are grim.

Who is paid. I assumed a government pays to house people who cannot pay, so the building firms that already hold such contracts collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Olfactory Wakeup Call: An alarm clock that rouses the sleeper by releasing smells.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Olfactory Wakeup Call

Altered Carbon, Richard Morgan · 2003

An alarm clock that rouses the sleeper by releasing smells.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Waking to a smell is a novelty version of an alarm clock.

Who is paid. Households buy it and any gadget maker can build it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Smart Wallpaper: Wall covering that reads how occupants feel and changes its colours to suit.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Smart Wallpaper

Oryx and Crake, Margaret Atwood · 2003

Wall covering that reads how occupants feel and changes its colours to suit.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2030s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Wall covering that changes colour with mood is decoration; unlike the reshaping house it alters only colour.

Who is paid. Households buy it, and I assumed the covering can be copied by many makers, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Swiss: A compact all-in-one personal tool packing many functions.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Swiss

City of Pearl, Karen Traviss · 2004

A compact all-in-one personal tool packing many functions.

built in the 2000s, about 0 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A compact tool with many functions is a convenience.

Who is paid. Households buy it and many firms can make it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Clothing Size Scanner: A body scanner that measures a shopper to find their garment sizes.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Clothing Size Scanner

Sagramanda, Alan Dean Foster · 2006

A body scanner that measures a shopper to find their garment sizes.

already existed before the story (the 1990s)

A small prizeBusinesses pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Finding the right size without trying clothes on saves shoppers some bother and shops some returns.

Who is paid. Clothes shops buy the scanner, and many equipment makers can build a measuring device.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Magnetic Levitating Bed: A bed held above the floor by magnets with nothing visible supporting it.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Magnetic Levitating Bed

Spook Country, William Gibson · 2007

A bed held above the floor by magnets with nothing visible supporting it.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A bed that floats with nothing under it is a showpiece.

Who is paid. Rich buyers pay for it, and strong magnets are available to any furniture maker.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Aeromuse Pillow: A bedtime cushion with built-in audio so the sleeper can listen to songs.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Aeromuse Pillow

The Human Blend, Alan Dean Foster · 2010

A bedtime cushion with built-in audio so the sleeper can listen to songs.

built in the 2010s, about 0 years after it was imagined

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A pillow that plays songs is a minor comfort.

Who is paid. Sleepers buy it, and any maker of bedding or speakers can produce it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Onionskin Transparent Jeans: Trousers made from see-through fabric worn as a fashion statement.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Onionskin Transparent Jeans

Super Sad True Love Story, Gary Shteyngart · 2011

Trousers made from see-through fabric worn as a fashion statement.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. See-through trousers are a fashion item for those who want them.

Who is paid. Households buy them, and once the cloth exists any clothing maker could copy it, so no seller keeps much.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Jonnytruck: A rentable mobile toilet whose price is partly covered by recovering the waste.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Jonnytruck

The Water Knife, Paolo Bacigalupi · 2015

A rentable mobile toilet whose price is partly covered by recovering the waste.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A pay toilet on wheels serves people where water and plumbing are short.

Who is paid. Users pay each visit, and the trucks are easy to copy, so the operators who already run fleets and can sell the recovered waste collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Crowdcutter: A wearable gadget that opens a path through dense crowds of people.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Crowdcutter

Infomocracy, Malka Older · 2016

A wearable gadget that opens a path through dense crowds of people.

not yet built · AI models could not judge when it may arrive

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. Getting through a crowd faster is a convenience for city dwellers.

Who is paid. People buy it for themselves, and I assume it is a gadget other makers could copy once it had been seen.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Illustration of Hotello: A compact movable enclosure that sets up a private sleeping space inside a larger room.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Hotello

New York 2140, Kim Stanley Robinson · 2017

A compact movable enclosure that sets up a private sleeping space inside a larger room.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2020s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; no seller keeps muchas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A private sleeping nook inside a shared room helps people in crowded housing, but it is a simple piece of kit.

Who is paid. Unlike a pod hotel, this is a product the sleeper owns, so people buy it themselves, and any tent or furniture maker can produce it.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is fairly sure of this one.

Illustration of Science Chair: Furniture cultivated from the owner's own genetic material to fit them comfortably.Illustration made with AI image generation; not evidence.

Science Chair

Titanium Noir, Nick Harkaway · 2023

Furniture cultivated from the owner's own genetic material to fit them comfortably.

not yet built · AI models' likeliest decade: the 2050s

A small prizeHouseholds pay; existing firms keep the restas a model judges it

Why

A small prize. A chair grown to fit its owner is a novel way to get comfortable furniture.

Who is paid. People buy it for the home, and since living stock multiplies once any of it is sold, no originator can hold it, so the breeders and furnishing shops that already hold stock and showrooms collect.

A model's judgement, not a reading, of the idea as if it worked the way its story promises. The model is not very sure of this one.

Ideas from Technovelgy: Science Fiction Timeline of Inventions (Bill Christensen) (archived copy), as compiled in Not Boring: Sci-Fi Idea Bank (Packy McCormick); names, works, authors and years are theirs and every description is this site's rewording. Categories, arrival decades and profit are judged by AI models, not people. Method