Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators
Every task in this role, whether it passes the census's structural hand-over screen, which models pass it, and why. It is a screen, not a claim about what AI can do: a task can pass and still be beyond the systems of the day. The stricter and looser rules re-vote every task, and small differences between roles are noise.
Passes the screen · 1 of 20 tasks
Set up appointments for parties to meet for mediation.
quick to check, an existing check settles it, and a mistake is cheap · 5.1% of the role's time · $31.9M · all three pass it
Does not pass
Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 8.0% of the role's time · $50.5M
Apply relevant laws, regulations, policies, or precedents to reach conclusions.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 7.5% of the role's time · $46.9M
Rule on exceptions, motions, or admissibility of evidence.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 7.4% of the role's time · $46.6M
Research laws, regulations, policies, or precedent decisions to prepare for hearings.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 6.8% of the role's time · $43.0M · waiting on a check
Conduct hearings to obtain information or evidence relative to disposition of claims.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 6.7% of the role's time · $42.3M
Determine extent of liability according to evidence, laws, or administrative or judicial precedents.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 6.6% of the role's time · $41.4M
Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 5.9% of the role's time · $37.4M
Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 5.9% of the role's time · $37.1M
Evaluate information from documents, such as claim applications, birth or death certificates, or physician or employer records.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 5.8% of the role's time · $36.2M · passed by Claude Sonnet · the models disagreed
Conduct initial meetings with disputants to outline the arbitration process, settle procedural matters, such as fees, or determine details, such as witness numbers or time requirements.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 5.4% of the role's time · $33.7M · waiting on a check
Issue subpoenas or administer oaths to prepare for formal hearings.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 4.7% of the role's time · $29.7M · passed by Claude Sonnet · the models disagreed
Recommend acceptance or rejection of compromise settlement offers.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 3.9% of the role's time · $24.5M
Interview claimants, agents, or witnesses to obtain information about disputed issues.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 3.7% of the role's time · $23.4M · waiting on a check
Prepare settlement agreements for disputants to sign.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 3.6% of the role's time · $22.9M
Authorize payment of valid claims.
an accountable sign-off — stays with a person · 3.5% of the role's time · $21.8M
Organize or deliver public presentations about mediation to organizations, such as community agencies or schools.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 3.0% of the role's time · $18.7M · waiting on a check
Conduct studies of appeals procedures to ensure adherence to legal requirements or to facilitate disposition of cases.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 2.8% of the role's time · $17.7M
Specialize in the negotiation and resolution of environmental conflicts involving issues such as natural resource allocation or regional development planning.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 2.1% of the role's time · $13.0M
Participate in court proceedings.
physical work, outside the screen · 1.7% of the role's time · $10.4M
Where this role works
| Industry | Workers | Wage bill | Passes the screen | All three pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Local Government, excluding Schools and Hospitals (OEWS Designation) | 1430 | $140M | $7.1M | $7.1M |
| Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services | 1870 | $124M | $6.3M | $6.3M |
| Legal Services | 1250 | $114M | $5.8M | $5.8M |
| State Government, excluding Schools and Hospitals (OEWS Designation) | 1140 | $94.4M | $4.8M | $4.8M |
| Elementary and Secondary Schools | 280 | $32.1M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
| Federal Executive Branch (OEWS Designation) | 150 | $22.3M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
| Individual and Family Services | 410 | $22.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
| Business, Professional, Labor, Political, and Similar Organizations | 200 | $20.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools | 140 | $14.6M | $739k | $739k |
| Social Advocacy Organizations | 220 | $11.0M | $559k | $559k |