Atmospheric and Space Scientists
Every task in this role, whether it passes the census's structural hand-over screen, which models pass it, and why. It is a screen, not a claim about what AI can do: a task can pass and still be beyond the systems of the day. The stricter and looser rules re-vote every task, and small differences between roles are noise.
Passes the screen · 1 of 27 tasks
Develop computer programs to collect meteorological data or to present meteorological information.
quick to check, an existing check settles it, and a mistake is cheap · 3.8% of the role's time · $33.9M · passed by Claude Sonnet, Gemini 3.1 Pro · the models disagreed
Does not pass
Interpret data, reports, maps, photographs, or charts to predict long- or short-range weather conditions, using computer models and knowledge of climate theory, physics, and mathematics.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 9.2% of the role's time · $81.3M
Develop or use mathematical or computer models for weather forecasting.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 8.4% of the role's time · $74.0M
Formulate predictions by interpreting environmental data, such as meteorological, atmospheric, oceanic, paleoclimate, climate, or related information.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 7.8% of the role's time · $68.9M
Gather data from sources such as surface or upper air stations, satellites, weather bureaus, or radar for use in meteorological reports or forecasts.
physical work, outside the screen · 7.8% of the role's time · $68.4M
Conduct meteorological research into the processes or determinants of atmospheric phenomena, weather, or climate.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 6.1% of the role's time · $54.0M
Prepare forecasts or briefings to meet the needs of industry, business, government, or other groups.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 5.2% of the role's time · $46.3M
Prepare weather reports or maps for analysis, distribution, or use in weather broadcasts, using computer graphics.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 5.2% of the role's time · $45.5M · passed by Claude Sonnet · the models disagreed · waiting on a check
Broadcast weather conditions, forecasts, or severe weather warnings to the public via television, radio, or the Internet or provide this information to the news media.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 4.9% of the role's time · $43.4M
Prepare scientific atmospheric or climate reports, articles, or texts.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 3.4% of the role's time · $29.9M
Direct forecasting services at weather stations or at radio or television broadcasting facilities.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 3.3% of the role's time · $29.5M
Analyze historical climate information, such as precipitation or temperature records, to help predict future weather or climate trends.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 3.3% of the role's time · $29.3M
Perform managerial duties, such as creating work schedules, creating or implementing staff training, matching staff expertise to situations, or analyzing performance of offices.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 3.2% of the role's time · $28.3M
Analyze climate data sets, using techniques such as geophysical fluid dynamics, data assimilation, or numerical modeling.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 3.0% of the role's time · $26.8M · waiting on a check
Develop and deliver training on weather topics.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 2.6% of the role's time · $23.2M
Measure wind, temperature, and humidity in the upper atmosphere, using weather balloons.
physical work, outside the screen · 2.6% of the role's time · $23.0M
Design or develop new equipment or methods for meteorological data collection, remote sensing, or related applications.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 2.5% of the role's time · $22.1M
Speak to the public to discuss weather topics or answer questions.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 2.4% of the role's time · $20.8M · waiting on a check
Consult with other offices, agencies, professionals, or researchers regarding the use and interpretation of climatological information for weather predictions and warnings.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 2.2% of the role's time · $19.5M
Create visualizations to illustrate historical or future changes in the Earth's climate, using paleoclimate or climate geographic information systems (GIS) databases.
reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 2.1% of the role's time · $18.3M · waiting on a check
Collect air samples from planes or ships over land or sea to study atmospheric composition.
physical work, outside the screen · 2.1% of the role's time · $18.2M
Teach college-level courses on topics such as atmospheric and space science, meteorology, or global climate change.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 2.0% of the role's time · $17.4M
Apply meteorological knowledge to issues such as global warming, pollution control, or ozone depletion.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 1.8% of the role's time · $15.5M
Research the impact of industrial projects or pollution on climate, air quality, or weather phenomena.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 1.7% of the role's time · $14.9M
Conduct wind assessment, integration, or validation studies.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 1.3% of the role's time · $11.7M
Conduct numerical simulations of climate conditions to understand and predict global or regional weather patterns.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 1.2% of the role's time · $10.3M
Estimate or predict the effects of global warming over time for specific geographic regions.
reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 0.9% of the role's time · $7.6M
Where this role works
| Industry | Workers | Wage bill | Passes the screen | All three pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Executive Branch (OEWS Designation) | 2720 | $330M | $12.7M | $0 |
| Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools | 1240 | $122M | $4.7M | $0 |
| Radio and Television Broadcasting Stations | 1060 | $111M | $4.3M | $0 |
| Scientific Research and Development Services | 920 | $109M | $4.2M | $0 |
| Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services | 1210 | $78.5M | $3.0M | $0 |
| Media Streaming Distribution Services, Social Networks, and Other Media Networks and Content Providers | 370 | $33.1M | $1.3M | $0 |
| Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services | 250 | $19.4M | $747k | $0 |
| Local Government, excluding Schools and Hospitals (OEWS Designation) | 160 | $17.7M | $681k | $0 |
| Computer Systems Design and Related Services | 160 | $16.6M | $639k | $0 |
| Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services | 190 | $15.6M | $600k | $0 |