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Census · Finance · occupation code 13-1051

Cost Estimators

Every task in this role, whether it passes the census's structural hand-over screen, which models pass it, and why. It is a screen, not a claim about what AI can do: a task can pass and still be beyond the systems of the day. The stricter and looser rules re-vote every task, and small differences between roles are noise.

Passes the screen · 2 of 14 tasks

  • Prepare cost and expenditure statements and other necessary documentation at regular intervals for the duration of the project.

    quick to check, an existing check settles it, and a mistake is cheap · 4.2% of the role's time · $763M · passed by Claude Sonnet, Gemini 3.1 Pro · the models disagreed

  • Prepare and maintain a directory of suppliers, contractors and subcontractors.

    quick to check, an existing check settles it, and a mistake is cheap · 3.6% of the role's time · $647M · passed by Claude Sonnet, Gemini 3.1 Pro · the models disagreed

Does not pass

  • Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 19.6% of the role's time · $3.5B

  • Confer with engineers, architects, owners, contractors, and subcontractors on changes and adjustments to cost estimates.

    reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 12.2% of the role's time · $2.2B

  • Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 9.4% of the role's time · $1.7B

  • Consult with clients, vendors, personnel in other departments, or construction foremen to discuss and formulate estimates and resolve issues.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 8.5% of the role's time · $1.5B

  • Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.

    reason given most often: no existing check settles it · 7.0% of the role's time · $1.3B · passed by Claude Sonnet · the models disagreed

  • Assess cost effectiveness of products, projects or services, tracking actual costs relative to bids as the project develops.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 6.7% of the role's time · $1.2B

  • Review material and labor requirements to decide whether it is more cost-effective to produce or purchase components.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 6.5% of the role's time · $1.2B

  • Prepare estimates used by management for purposes such as planning, organizing, and scheduling work.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 6.1% of the role's time · $1.1B

  • Conduct special studies to develop and establish standard hour and related cost data or to reduce cost.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 5.2% of the role's time · $928M

  • Establish and maintain tendering process, and conduct negotiations.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it, and a failure is too expensive · 4.4% of the role's time · $782M

  • Set up cost monitoring and reporting systems and procedures.

    reason given most often: nobody can tell quickly whether it worked, and no existing check settles it · 4.0% of the role's time · $712M

  • Visit site and record information about access, drainage and topography, and availability of utility services.

    physical work, outside the screen · 2.7% of the role's time · $476M

Where this role works